Football · USA NWSL Women · 20/08, 02:00

Prediction: Houston Dash (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)

Team pages: Houston Dash (W) · Chicago Stars (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.48Total

Houston Dash (W)1.71

Chicago Stars (W)0.77

1X2

59% 26% 15%

Houston Dash (W) Draw Chicago Stars (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Houston Dash (W) 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDWLDW

Chicago Stars (W) 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Houston Dash (W) 2–4 Chicago Stars (W) (6 last)

Houston Dash (W)1-0Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-2Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-2Chicago Stars (W)
Chicago Stars (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)
Chicago Stars (W)3-0Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-1Chicago Stars (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Houston Dash (W) (rating 1514 vs 1427).
H2H favours Chicago Stars (W): 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Houston Dash (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	0.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.8	0.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	0/80/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 2	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	1.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.96

Under 2.751.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.69 → 1.69	Pinn 1.69
X	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79
2	4.24 → 4.24	Pinn 4.24

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12	1.69	3.79	4.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dash (W) 2–0–4 Chicago Stars (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
20/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Chicago Stars (W)
23/03/25 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Houston Dash (W)
05/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Chicago Stars (W)
06/07/24 USA NWSL Women	Chicago Stars (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Houston Dash (W)
06/08/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women	Chicago Stars (W)	3-0 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)
08/07/23 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Chicago Stars (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	20	13	4	3	26	13	43
2	Utah Royals (W)	20	11	3	6	35	23	36
3	Washington Spirit (W)	19	11	3	5	29	17	36
4	Portland Thorns (W)	20	10	4	6	34	29	34
5	San Diego Wave (W)	20	10	3	7	25	21	33
6	North Carolina Courage (W)	18	9	3	6	32	26	30
7	Kansas City Current (W)	20	9	3	8	31	28	30
8	Reign FC (W)	18	8	3	7	23	23	27
9	Angel City FC (W)	17	7	3	7	26	19	24
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	19	6	6	7	25	25	24
11	Orlando Pride (W)	20	7	2	11	24	31	23
12	Houston Dash (W)	18	5	5	8	20	26	20
13	Racing Louisville FC (W)	19	6	2	11	28	36	20
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	20	5	5	10	23	32	20
15	Bay FC (W)	19	5	4	10	20	27	19
16	Chicago Stars (W)	19	4	1	14	9	34	13

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Houston Dash (W)	Chicago Stars (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)	3-2 W	0-4 L
Bay FC (W)	1-0 W	0-0 D
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
San Diego Wave (W)	2-2 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Houston Dash (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Houston Dash (W)

DWLLDDWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
09/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	0	0	D
02/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
25/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	1	6	D
13/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	2-2	1	0	D
04/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	3	L
31/05	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
24/05	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
21/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-2	2	5	D

Chicago Stars (W)

LWLWLLLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
10/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
01/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	0	1	L
25/07	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
19/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
11/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
05/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	5	2	W
31/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
24/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	1	7	W
17/05	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Houston Dash (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dash (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Houston Dash (W) 59%, draw 26%, Chicago Stars (W) 15%.

How many goals are expected in Houston Dash (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Houston Dash (W) 1.71 · Chicago Stars (W) 0.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Houston Dash (W) vs Chicago Stars (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.