Football · USA NWSL Women · 24/10, 02:00
Prediction: Chicago Stars (W) vs Houston Dash (W)
Team pages: Chicago Stars (W) · Houston Dash (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Chicago Stars (W)1.55
Houston Dash (W)1.52
1X2
Chicago Stars (W)
Draw
Houston Dash (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chicago Stars (W)
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Houston Dash (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chicago Stars (W)
3–3
Houston Dash (W)
(6 last)
- Houston Dash (W)5-0Chicago Stars (W)
- Houston Dash (W)1-0Chicago Stars (W)
- Chicago Stars (W)1-2Houston Dash (W)
- Houston Dash (W)0-2Chicago Stars (W)
- Chicago Stars (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)
- Chicago Stars (W)3-0Houston Dash (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Houston Dash (W) (rating 1412 vs 1463).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicago Stars (W) | Houston Dash (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 3 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.2 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.6 / 0 | 1.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Stars (W) 3–0–3 Houston Dash (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/26 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 20/09/25 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 23/03/25 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Houston Dash (W) |
| 05/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 06/07/24 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Houston Dash (W) |
| 06/08/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Houston Dash (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | San Diego Wave (W) | 28 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 54 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 26 | 52 |
| 4 | Kansas City Current (W) | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 38 | 47 |
| 5 | Angel City FC (W) | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 48 | 31 | 46 |
| 6 | Utah Royals (W) | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 37 | 46 |
| 7 | Portland Thorns (W) | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 43 |
| 8 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 41 | 42 |
| 9 | Reign FC (W) | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 32 | 40 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 40 | 38 |
| 11 | Orlando Pride (W) | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 38 | 44 | 36 |
| 12 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 38 | 47 | 32 |
| 13 | Houston Dash (W) | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 41 | 30 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 42 | 26 |
| 15 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 54 | 24 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 15 | 63 | 17 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chicago Stars (W) | Houston Dash (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Washington Spirit (W) | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 0-6 L | 3-2 W |
| Reign FC (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 3 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Houston Dash (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/09 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Houston Dash (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/09 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/09 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/09 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 20/08 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 17/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chicago Stars (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chicago Stars (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Chicago Stars (W) 37%, draw 26%, Houston Dash (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Stars (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Chicago Stars (W) 1.55 · Houston Dash (W) 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chicago Stars (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.