Football · USA NWSL Women · 03/08, 01:00
Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)
Team pages: Utah Royals (W) · Portland Thorns (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Utah Royals (W)1.97
Portland Thorns (W)1.06
1X2
Utah Royals (W)
Draw
Portland Thorns (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Utah Royals (W)
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Portland Thorns (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Utah Royals (W)
3–2–1
Portland Thorns (W)
(6 last)
- Portland Thorns (W)2-2Utah Royals (W)
- Portland Thorns (W)1-2Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)0-1Portland Thorns (W)
- Portland Thorns (W)1-2Utah Royals (W)
- Utah Royals (W)3-1Portland Thorns (W)
- Utah Royals (W)0-0Portland Thorns (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1549 vs 1467).
- H2H favours Utah Royals (W): 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Utah Royals (W) | Portland Thorns (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 3–2–1 Portland Thorns (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05/26 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 30/08/25 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 12/04/25 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Portland Thorns (W) |
| 06/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 28/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women | Utah Royals (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Portland Thorns (W) |
| 30/06/24 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Thorns (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Washington Spirit (W) | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave (W) | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns (W) | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 28 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 24 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 23 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 16 | 22 |
| 10 | Reign FC (W) | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 21 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 11 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Utah Royals (W) | Portland Thorns (W) |
|---|---|---|
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Denver Summit FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Thorns (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 26/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
Portland Thorns (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 06/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | San Diego Wave (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Utah Royals (W) win (58%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 58%, draw 24%, Portland Thorns (W) 19%.
How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Utah Royals (W) 1.97 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.06), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.