Football · USA NWSL Women · 05/09, 04:00
Prediction: Bay FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)
Team pages: Bay FC (W) · Kansas City Current (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Bay FC (W)1.36
Kansas City Current (W)1.35
1X2
Bay FC (W)
Draw
Kansas City Current (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Bay FC (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Kansas City Current (W)
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bay FC (W)
0–4
Kansas City Current (W)
(4 last)
- Bay FC (W)0-2Kansas City Current (W)
- Kansas City Current (W)4-1Bay FC (W)
- Bay FC (W)0-1Kansas City Current (W)
- Kansas City Current (W)5-2Bay FC (W)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kansas City Current (W) (rating 1470 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Kansas City Current (W): 4-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bay FC (W) | Kansas City Current (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.2 | 2.6 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bay FC (W) 0–0–4 Kansas City Current (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 USA NWSL Women | Bay FC (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Kansas City Current (W) |
| 11/05/25 USA NWSL Women | Kansas City Current (W) | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Bay FC (W) |
| 13/10/24 USA NWSL Women | Bay FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kansas City Current (W) |
| 21/04/24 USA NWSL Women | Kansas City Current (W) | 5-2 HT 2-1 | Bay FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit (W) | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 19 | 40 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 28 | 39 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave (W) | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 39 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns (W) | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 30 | 38 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 36 |
| 7 | Kansas City Current (W) | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 34 |
| 8 | Reign FC (W) | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 31 |
| 9 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 27 |
| 10 | Angel City FC (W) | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 22 | 26 |
| 11 | Houston Dash (W) | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 30 | 26 |
| 12 | Orlando Pride (W) | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 33 | 26 |
| 13 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 43 | 23 |
| 14 | Bay FC (W) | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 15 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | 20 |
| 16 | Chicago Stars (W) | 22 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 13 | 47 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bay FC (W) | Kansas City Current (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dash (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Reign FC (W) | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| North Carolina Courage (W) | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Bay FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bay FC (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 24/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 10/08 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Kansas City Current (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 02/08 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 04/07 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bay FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bay FC (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Bay FC (W) 36%, draw 28%, Kansas City Current (W) 36%.
How many goals are expected in Bay FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Bay FC (W) 1.36 · Kansas City Current (W) 1.35), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bay FC (W) vs Kansas City Current (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.