Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs Houston Dash (W)
Expected goals: 3.07 (Washington Spirit (W) 2.29 · Houston Dash (W) 0.79). The model gives 71% home, 18% draw, 11% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 2-0.
On recent form, Washington Spirit (W) is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Houston Dash (W) 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Washington Spirit (W) won 4 and Houston Dash (W) 0, with 2 draws.
| Washington Spirit (W) | Draw | Houston Dash (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 19% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 16% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1569 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Washington Spirit (W): 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Washington Spirit (W) | Houston Dash (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 1.3 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 4–2–0 Houston Dash (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/25 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Houston Dash (W) |
| 15/03/25 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 15/09/24 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Houston Dash (W) |
| 13/04/24 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 20/08/23 USA NWSL Women | Houston Dash (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 23/04/23 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Houston Dash (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Utah Royals (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Reign FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Houston Dash (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Angel City FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Washington Spirit (W) | Houston Dash (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Reign FC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| San Diego Wave (W) | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Kansas City Current (W) | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Denver Summit FC (W) | 0-0 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Washington Spirit (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club America (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
Houston Dash (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/05 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Washington Spirit (W) win (71%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 71%, draw 18%, Houston Dash (W) 11%.
How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 2.29 · Houston Dash (W) 0.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs Houston Dash (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.