Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)
Expected goals: 2.74 (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.39 · Washington Spirit (W) 1.35). The model gives 37% home, 28% draw, 35% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, North Carolina Courage (W) is 4-3-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Washington Spirit (W) 8-0-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for North Carolina Courage (W) and 2 for Washington Spirit (W), with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Washington Spirit (W) (rating 1516 vs 1566).
- H2H favours North Carolina Courage (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Carolina Courage (W) | Washington Spirit (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 3–1–2 Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 USA NWSL Women | North Carolina Courage (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 08/06/25 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 3-1 HT 2-1 | North Carolina Courage (W) |
| 03/11/24 USA NWSL Women | North Carolina Courage (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Washington Spirit (W) |
| 30/06/24 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | North Carolina Courage (W) |
| 15/10/23 USA NWSL Women | Washington Spirit (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | North Carolina Courage (W) |
| 23/07/23 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | North Carolina Courage (W) | 6-0 HT 0-0 | Washington Spirit (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current (W) | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Reign FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | North Carolina Courage (W) | Washington Spirit (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Orlando Pride (W) | 0-1 L | 4-2 W |
| Kansas City Current (W) | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Houston Dash (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 1-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 5 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Washington Spirit (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
North Carolina Courage (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/04 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 29/03 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Washington Spirit (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Club America (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (37%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 37%, draw 28%, Washington Spirit (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
The model expects 2.74 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.39 · Washington Spirit (W) 1.35), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Washington Spirit (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.