Football · USA NWSL Women · 12/07, 02:45

Prediction: San Diego Wave (W) vs Angel City FC (W)

Expected goals: 2.47 (San Diego Wave (W) 1.75 · Angel City FC (W) 0.73). The model gives 61% home, 25% draw, 14% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.

On recent form, San Diego Wave (W) is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Angel City FC (W) 3-1-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, San Diego Wave (W) won 1 and Angel City FC (W) 1, with 4 draws.

61%1
61% 25% 14%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.47San Diego Wave (W) 1.75 · Angel City FC (W) 0.73
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 53%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Diego Wave (W) (rating 1562 vs 1464).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

San Diego Wave (W)Angel City FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.80.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.62 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 02.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego Wave (W) 141 Angel City FC (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)1-2
HT 0-0
San Diego Wave (W)
10/08/25
USA NWSL Women
San Diego Wave (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Angel City FC (W)
16/03/25
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)1-1
HT 0-1
San Diego Wave (W)
24/08/24
USA NWSL Women
San Diego Wave (W)1-2
HT 0-2
Angel City FC (W)
02/08/24
NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women
Angel City FC (W)0-0
HT 0-0
San Diego Wave (W)
24/05/24
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)0-0
HT 0-0
San Diego Wave (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Diego Wave (W) 14914 211328
2 Washington Spirit (W) 12732 201024
3 Utah Royals (W) 12732 181024
4 Portland Thorns (W) 13733 201424
5 Kansas City Current (W) 13805 211724
6 North Carolina Courage (W) 12633 201421
7 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 12633 12721
8 Orlando Pride (W) 13526 181917
9 Angel City FC (W) 12516 181416
10 Denver Summit FC (W) 12435 171615
11 Reign FC (W) 12426 111614
12 Houston Dash (W) 13427 152114
13 Bay FC (W) 12336 111912
14 Boston Legacy FC (W) 13247 132110
15 Chicago Stars (W) 12309 5249
16 Racing Louisville FC (W) 11218 15207

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSan Diego Wave (W)Angel City FC (W)
Portland Thorns (W) 4-3 W 0-0 D
Orlando Pride (W) 0-1 L 2-0 W
Houston Dash (W) 2-2 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: San Diego Wave (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

San Diego Wave (W)

WLLWWDLWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 2-0 02 W
29/06 Portland Thorns (W)
Women’s Friendly
1-2 4-3 W
31/05 Chicago Stars (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 2-0 32 W
25/05 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 35 L
21/05 Houston Dash (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 2-2 95 D
16/05 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-1 33 W
10/05 Angel City FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 2-1 11 W
04/05 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 46 L
30/04 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-2 53 L
26/04 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-2 3-2 44 W

Angel City FC (W)

WLLLLDWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 2-0 51 W
01/06 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 51 L
24/05 Houston Dash (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 1-2 66 L
21/05 Kansas City Current (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-1 52 W
18/05 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-0 72 D
10/05 San Diego Wave (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 61 L
03/05 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 86 L
27/04 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 32 L
04/04 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 35 L
28/03 Houston Dash (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 2-1 34 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Diego Wave (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Diego Wave (W) win (61%). Probabilities: San Diego Wave (W) 61%, draw 25%, Angel City FC (W) 14%.

How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model expects 2.47 goals (San Diego Wave (W) 1.75 · Angel City FC (W) 0.73), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in San Diego Wave (W) vs Angel City FC (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.