Prediction: Reign FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)
Expected goals: 2.76 (Reign FC (W) 1.28 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.48). The model gives 32% home, 28% draw, 41% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Reign FC (W) with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; Portland Thorns (W) has piled up 5-2-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Reign FC (W) and 4 for Portland Thorns (W), with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Thorns (W) (rating 1454 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Portland Thorns (W): 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Reign FC (W) | Portland Thorns (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.3 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reign FC (W) 1–1–4 Portland Thorns (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 10/08/25 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Reign FC (W) |
| 19/04/25 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Portland Thorns (W) |
| 01/08/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Reign FC (W) |
| 16/06/24 USA NWSL Women | Reign FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Thorns (W) |
| 12/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Portland Thorns (W) | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Reign FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Utah Royals (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Portland Thorns (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current (W) | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Reign FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Reign FC (W) | Portland Thorns (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Utah Royals (W) | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Kansas City Current (W) | 3-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Thorns (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reign FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 05/04 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 28/03 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 26/03 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Portland Thorns (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | San Diego Wave (W) Women’s Friendly |
2-1 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 21/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/04 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reign FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Portland Thorns (W) win (41%). Probabilities: Reign FC (W) 32%, draw 28%, Portland Thorns (W) 41%.
How many goals are expected in Reign FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Reign FC (W) 1.28 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.48), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Reign FC (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.