Prediction: Utah Royals (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.16 (Utah Royals (W) 0.91 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.25). The model gives 27% home, 29% draw, 44% away. Under 2.25 goals (51%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Utah Royals (W) sits at 7-2-1 (W-D-L), while NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Utah Royals (W) won 2 and NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 3, with 1 draw.
| Utah Royals (W) | Draw | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 32% | 43% |
| Market | 28% | 27% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1568 vs 1509).
- H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Utah Royals (W) | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 1.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Utah Royals (W) 2–1–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/25 USA NWSL Women | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 14/06/25 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
| 02/11/24 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-4 HT 0-2 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
| 22/09/24 USA NWSL Women | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 04/07/20 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
| 08/08/19 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 28 |
| 2 | Portland Thorns (W) | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 27 |
| 3 | Washington Spirit (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Utah Royals (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 24 |
| 5 | Kansas City Current (W) | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 7 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 9 | Angel City FC (W) | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 14 | 16 |
| 10 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 15 |
| 11 | Reign FC (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Houston Dash (W) | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 12 |
| 14 | Chicago Stars (W) | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 12 |
| 15 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 10 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Utah Royals (W) | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Stars (W) | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Racing Louisville FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Houston Dash (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Reign FC (W) | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Utah Royals (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Club America (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Utah Royals (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Utah Royals (W) 27%, draw 29%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 44%.
How many goals are expected in Utah Royals (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Utah Royals (W) 0.91 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.25), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Utah Royals (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.