Football · USA NWSL Women · 04/07, 04:00

Prediction: Angel City FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

Expected goals: 2.53 (Angel City FC (W) 1.32 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.22). The model gives 38% home, 29% draw, 33% away. Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Angel City FC (W) with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Orlando Pride (W) has piled up 5-1-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Angel City FC (W) won 1 and Orlando Pride (W) 4, with 1 draw.

38%1
38% 29% 33%
Model analysis
Expected goals2.53Angel City FC (W) 1.32 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.22
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Orlando Pride (W) (rating 1468 vs 1508).
  • H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Angel City FC (W)Orlando Pride (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.41.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.81.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Angel City FC (W) 114 Orlando Pride (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
04/04/26
USA NWSL Women
Orlando Pride (W)2-1
HT 0-0
Angel City FC (W)
22/08/25
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)1-0
HT 0-0
Orlando Pride (W)
26/04/25
USA NWSL Women
Orlando Pride (W)3-2
HT 0-2
Angel City FC (W)
01/07/24
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)0-3
HT 0-2
Orlando Pride (W)
23/03/24
USA NWSL Women
Orlando Pride (W)1-1
HT 0-0
Angel City FC (W)
03/10/23
USA NWSL Women
Angel City FC (W)0-1
HT 0-1
Orlando Pride (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Diego Wave (W) 13814 191325
2 Utah Royals (W) 12732 181024
3 Portland Thorns (W) 13733 201424
4 Washington Spirit (W) 11632 18921
5 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 11632 12521
6 Kansas City Current (W) 12705 181721
7 North Carolina Courage (W) 11533 171318
8 Orlando Pride (W) 12525 181717
9 Denver Summit FC (W) 11434 171315
10 Reign FC (W) 11425 101314
11 Houston Dash (W) 12426 141914
12 Angel City FC (W) 11416 161413
13 Bay FC (W) 11326 91711
14 Boston Legacy FC (W) 12237 11199
15 Chicago Stars (W) 12309 5249
16 Racing Louisville FC (W) 11218 15207

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAngel City FC (W)Orlando Pride (W)
North Carolina Courage (W) 1-2 L 1-0 W
San Diego Wave (W) 1-2 L 1-0 W
Bay FC (W) 3-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Orlando Pride (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angel City FC (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/06 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 51 L
24/05 Houston Dash (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 1-2 66 L
21/05 Kansas City Current (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-1 52 W
18/05 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-0 72 D
10/05 San Diego Wave (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 61 L
03/05 Utah Royals (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 0-1 86 L
27/04 Portland Thorns (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 32 L
04/04 Orlando Pride (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-2 35 L
28/03 Houston Dash (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 2-1 34 W
22/03 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-0 3-1 126 W

Orlando Pride (W)

WDWLLWLLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
30/05 Bay FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 3-1 10 W
25/05 San Diego Wave (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-0 25 W
17/05 Denver Summit FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-1 1-3 12 L
13/05 Boston Legacy FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-0 1-2 44 L
09/05 North Carolina Courage (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 1-0 55 W
02/05 Washington Spirit (W)
USA NWSL Women
2-2 2-4 53 L
24/04 Racing Louisville FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
1-1 2-3 92 L
04/04 Angel City FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 2-1 55 W
30/03 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
USA NWSL Women
0-0 0-0 14 D
26/03 Chicago Stars (W)
USA NWSL Women
3-0 3-0 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angel City FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Angel City FC (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Angel City FC (W) 38%, draw 29%, Orlando Pride (W) 33%.

How many goals are expected in Angel City FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Angel City FC (W) 1.32 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Angel City FC (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.