Prediction: San Diego Wave (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Expected goals: 2.2 (San Diego Wave (W) 1.04 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.16). The model gives 32% home, 30% draw, 38% away. Under 2.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, San Diego Wave (W) is 6-1-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 6-1-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, San Diego Wave (W) won 3 and NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 2, with 1 draw.
| San Diego Wave (W) | Draw | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 32% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours San Diego Wave (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Diego Wave (W) | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Diego Wave (W) 3–1–2 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
| 17/05/25 USA NWSL Women | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | San Diego Wave (W) |
| 20/06/24 USA NWSL Women | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | San Diego Wave (W) |
| 13/05/24 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
| 16/03/24 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Diego Wave (W) |
| 20/08/23 USA NWSL Women | San Diego Wave (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Utah Royals (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Reign FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Houston Dash (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Angel City FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Diego Wave (W) | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Stars (W) | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Houston Dash (W) | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Bay FC (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Diego Wave (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Portland Thorns (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-2 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/05 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 30/04 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Pachuca (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Club America (W) CONCACAF Women Champions Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Diego Wave (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (38%). Probabilities: San Diego Wave (W) 32%, draw 30%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 38%.
How many goals are expected in San Diego Wave (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
The model expects 2.2 goals (San Diego Wave (W) 1.04 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in San Diego Wave (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.