Football · USA NWSL Women · 01/08, 02:00

Prediction: North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

North Carolina Courage (W)1.64

Orlando Pride (W)1.01

1X2

51% 27% 22%

North Carolina Courage (W) Draw Orlando Pride (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

North Carolina Courage (W) 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWWWWLL

Orlando Pride (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWLWLLW

Head-to-head

North Carolina Courage (W) 1–3–2 Orlando Pride (W) (6 last)

Orlando Pride (W)1-0North Carolina Courage (W)
Orlando Pride (W)0-1North Carolina Courage (W)
North Carolina Courage (W)1-1Orlando Pride (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Carolina Courage (W) (rating 1517 vs 1477).
H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	North Carolina Courage (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:34

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Pinn 2.20
X	3.37 → 3.37	Pinn 3.37
2	2.94 → 2.94	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:34	2.20	3.37	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · North Carolina Courage (W) 1–3–2 Orlando Pride (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
20/09/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	North Carolina Courage (W)
11/05/25 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
21/07/24 NWSL x Liga MXF Summer Cup Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
16/06/24 USA NWSL Women	North Carolina Courage (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
02/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	4-1 HT 3-0	North Carolina Courage (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	16	9	4	3	21	12	31
2	Washington Spirit (W)	15	9	3	3	24	12	30
3	San Diego Wave (W)	16	9	2	5	23	17	29
4	Portland Thorns (W)	17	8	4	5	27	20	28
5	Utah Royals (W)	15	8	3	4	22	16	27
6	Kansas City Current (W)	15	8	1	6	23	22	25
7	Orlando Pride (W)	17	7	2	8	22	21	23
8	Angel City FC (W)	14	7	1	6	22	14	22
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	14	6	3	5	20	19	21
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	14	5	4	5	21	19	19
11	Houston Dash (W)	16	5	4	7	19	24	19
12	Bay FC (W)	15	5	3	7	16	20	18
13	Reign FC (W)	14	5	2	7	15	19	17
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	16	4	4	8	17	23	16
15	Chicago Stars (W)	16	4	0	12	8	31	12
16	Racing Louisville FC (W)	14	2	2	10	16	27	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	North Carolina Courage (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Bay FC (W)	0-3 L	3-1 W
Angel City FC (W)	2-1 W	0-2 L
Chicago Stars (W)	4-0 W	1-0 W
Kansas City Current (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Boston Legacy FC (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: North Carolina Courage (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

North Carolina Courage (W)

WDLLWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-3	8	0	L
12/07	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	4	1	W
01/06	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	3	1	W
23/05	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
17/05	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
09/05	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
03/05	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
30/04	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
26/04	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	4	W

Orlando Pride (W)

WLLWWLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
16/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
11/07	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	3-0	1	0	W
04/07	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
30/05	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	1	0	W
25/05	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
17/05	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	1	2	L
13/05	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
09/05	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a North Carolina Courage (W) win (51%). Probabilities: North Carolina Courage (W) 51%, draw 27%, Orlando Pride (W) 22%.

How many goals are expected in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model expects 2.65 goals (North Carolina Courage (W) 1.64 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.01), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in North Carolina Courage (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.