Football · USA NWSL Women · 19/09, 22:00

Prediction: Orlando Pride (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)

Team pages: Orlando Pride (W) · Portland Thorns (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Orlando Pride (W)1.58

Portland Thorns (W)1.33

1X2

42% 27% 31%

Orlando Pride (W) Draw Portland Thorns (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pride (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLWLWD

Portland Thorns (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLWWWDL

Head-to-head

Orlando Pride (W) 3–3 Portland Thorns (W) (6 last)

Portland Thorns (W)2-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Portland Thorns (W)
Portland Thorns (W)1-0Orlando Pride (W)
Portland Thorns (W)2-0Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)2-1Portland Thorns (W)
Orlando Pride (W)3-1Portland Thorns (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pride (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.2	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:20

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.06 → 2.09▲	Pinn 2.09
X	3.49 → 3.58▲	Pinn 3.58
2	2.95 → 3.01▲	Pinn 3.01

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:12 +8’	2.06	3.49	2.95
01:26 +54’	2.09▲	3.58▲	3.01▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pride (W) 3–0–3 Portland Thorns (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
11/10/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Portland Thorns (W)
04/05/25 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
12/10/24 USA NWSL Women	Portland Thorns (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	Orlando Pride (W)
25/05/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Portland Thorns (W)
12/06/23 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 1-1	Portland Thorns (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	24	14	6	4	29	18	48
2	Washington Spirit (W)	24	13	4	7	33	23	43
3	Utah Royals (W)	24	13	3	8	41	30	42
4	San Diego Wave (W)	24	13	3	8	34	27	42
5	North Carolina Courage (W)	24	12	3	9	47	35	39
6	Kansas City Current (W)	24	11	5	8	39	34	38
7	Portland Thorns (W)	23	11	5	7	37	32	38
8	Reign FC (W)	23	11	4	8	29	26	37
9	Angel City FC (W)	23	9	6	8	37	27	33
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	23	8	7	8	37	30	31
11	Orlando Pride (W)	24	9	3	12	31	36	30
12	Houston Dash (W)	24	7	5	12	29	34	26
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	24	7	5	12	31	40	26
14	Racing Louisville FC (W)	24	7	2	15	35	47	23
15	Bay FC (W)	23	6	4	13	22	32	22
16	Chicago Stars (W)	23	5	1	17	13	53	16

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pride (W)	Portland Thorns (W)
Utah Royals (W)	1-2 L	1-5 L
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	1-2 L
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 L	4-0 W
Boston Legacy FC (W)	0-1 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pride (W)

LLWLLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
07/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
16/07	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

Portland Thorns (W)

WLLDLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
29/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
23/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
09/08	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	4-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-5	2	0	L
25/07	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/07	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
12/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	8	2	L
06/07	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	4-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pride (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Orlando Pride (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Orlando Pride (W) 42%, draw 27%, Portland Thorns (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pride (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Orlando Pride (W) 1.58 · Portland Thorns (W) 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pride (W) vs Portland Thorns (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.