Football · USA NWSL Women · 03/10, 02:00

Prediction: Orlando Pride (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)

Team pages: Orlando Pride (W) · San Diego Wave (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Orlando Pride (W)1.3

San Diego Wave (W)1.36

1X2

34% 29% 37%

Orlando Pride (W) Draw San Diego Wave (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando Pride (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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San Diego Wave (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Orlando Pride (W) 4–1–1 San Diego Wave (W) (6 last)

San Diego Wave (W)0-1Orlando Pride (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-2Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)2-1San Diego Wave (W)
San Diego Wave (W)1-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0San Diego Wave (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-2San Diego Wave (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Diego Wave (W) (rating 1468 vs 1532).
H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando Pride (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 6.5	2.2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.89

Under 2.751.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.99 → 3.99	Pinn 3.99
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.75
2	1.74 → 1.74	Pinn 1.74

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +45’	3.99	3.75	1.74

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando Pride (W) 4–1–1 San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Orlando Pride (W)
27/09/25 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	Orlando Pride (W)
29/03/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	San Diego Wave (W)
08/06/24 USA NWSL Women	San Diego Wave (W)	1-1 HT 0-1	Orlando Pride (W)
20/04/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	San Diego Wave (W)
26/08/23 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-2 HT 1-1	San Diego Wave (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	26	16	6	4	34	20	54
2	San Diego Wave (W)	26	15	3	8	38	27	48
3	Washington Spirit (W)	26	14	4	8	36	24	46
4	Portland Thorns (W)	26	12	7	7	43	35	43
5	Angel City FC (W)	26	12	6	8	44	28	42
6	Utah Royals (W)	25	13	3	9	41	33	42
7	Kansas City Current (W)	26	12	5	9	43	37	41
8	Reign FC (W)	26	12	4	10	33	31	40
9	North Carolina Courage (W)	25	12	3	10	48	37	39
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	26	9	8	9	42	37	35
11	Houston Dash (W)	26	8	6	12	32	36	30
12	Orlando Pride (W)	25	9	3	13	32	40	30
13	Bay FC (W)	25	7	5	13	26	34	26
14	Boston Legacy FC (W)	26	7	5	14	32	44	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	26	7	2	17	35	51	23
16	Chicago Stars (W)	26	5	2	19	15	60	17

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando Pride (W)	San Diego Wave (W)
Kansas City Current (W)	2-2 D	2-0 W
Utah Royals (W)	1-2 L	4-2 W
Washington Spirit (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Racing Louisville FC (W)	1-3 L	2-0 W
North Carolina Courage (W)	0-5 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: San Diego Wave (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando Pride (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-4	8	2	L
12/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
07/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
25/07	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
19/07	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

San Diego Wave (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
19/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
13/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	1	1	W
07/09	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
29/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	3-2	11	4	W
22/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	4-2	2	0	W
15/08	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
08/08	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
02/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
26/07	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	0-2	7	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando Pride (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an San Diego Wave (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Orlando Pride (W) 34%, draw 29%, San Diego Wave (W) 37%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando Pride (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Orlando Pride (W) 1.3 · San Diego Wave (W) 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando Pride (W) vs San Diego Wave (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.