Football · USA NWSL Women · 17/10, 18:30

Prediction: Washington Spirit (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Team pages: Washington Spirit (W) · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Washington Spirit (W)0.98

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1.28

1X2

27% 31% 42%

Washington Spirit (W) Draw NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Washington Spirit (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWLWLW

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDDLWWWD

Head-to-head

Washington Spirit (W) 0–3–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (6 last)

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)1-0Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)0-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0Washington Spirit (W)
NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)0-0Washington Spirit (W)
Washington Spirit (W)0-3NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Washington Spirit (W)1-1NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (rating 1474 vs 1575).
H2H favours NJ/NY Gotham FC (W): 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Washington Spirit (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.8	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.91

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.61 → 2.61	Pinn 2.61
X	3.22 → 3.22	Pinn 3.22
2	2.51 → 2.51	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:32 +53’	2.61	3.22	2.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Washington Spirit (W) 0–3–3 NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Washington Spirit (W)
23/11/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
02/10/25 CONCACAF Women Champions Cup	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Washington Spirit (W)
09/08/25 USA NWSL Women	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Washington Spirit (W)
26/04/25 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	0-3 HT 0-3	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
16/11/24 USA NWSL Women	Washington Spirit (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	27	16	7	4	35	21	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	27	16	3	8	40	28	51
3	Washington Spirit (W)	27	15	4	8	39	26	49
4	Utah Royals (W)	27	14	4	9	44	35	46
5	Kansas City Current (W)	27	13	5	9	48	38	44
6	Angel City FC (W)	27	12	7	8	45	29	43
7	Portland Thorns (W)	27	12	7	8	45	39	43
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	27	13	3	11	50	39	42
9	Reign FC (W)	27	12	4	11	33	32	40
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	27	10	8	9	45	37	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	27	10	3	14	36	43	33
12	Houston Dash (W)	27	8	6	13	34	39	30
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	27	8	5	14	36	46	29
14	Bay FC (W)	27	7	5	15	28	42	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	27	7	3	17	36	52	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	27	5	2	20	15	63	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Washington Spirit (W)	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)
Houston Dash (W)	3-2 W	1-0 W
Angel City FC (W)	0-1 L	1-1 D
Chicago Stars (W)	3-0 W	3-1 W
Portland Thorns (W)	2-1 W	1-1 D
North Carolina Courage (W)	3-4 L	2-1 W
San Diego Wave (W)	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Washington Spirit (W)

LLDLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	11	1	W
27/09	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
20/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	5	L
06/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	2-1	5	5	W
30/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
23/08	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
17/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
09/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	3-4	7	4	L
02/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	3	3	L

NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)

WWWDDLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	3-1	3	5	W
20/09	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
12/09	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-1	5	3	W
06/09	Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-3	2	0	L
29/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/08	Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	2-1	2-1	7	1	W
08/08	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/08	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Washington Spirit (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Washington Spirit (W) 27%, draw 31%, NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Washington Spirit (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Washington Spirit (W) 0.98 · NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Washington Spirit (W) vs NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.