Football · USA NWSL Women · 18/10, 19:00

Prediction: Houston Dash (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)

Team pages: Houston Dash (W) · Orlando Pride (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Houston Dash (W)1.38

Orlando Pride (W)1.63

1X2

32% 26% 42%

Houston Dash (W) Draw Orlando Pride (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Houston Dash (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLWDL

Orlando Pride (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Houston Dash (W) 0–1–5 Orlando Pride (W) (6 last)

Orlando Pride (W)3-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)1-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)
Orlando Pride (W)3-1Houston Dash (W)
Houston Dash (W)0-1Orlando Pride (W)
Orlando Pride (W)1-0Houston Dash (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Houston Dash (W) 1466 · Orlando Pride (W) 1464

	Houston Dash (W)	Draw	Orlando Pride (W)
Our model	32%	26%	42%
Market	32%	26%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orlando Pride (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Houston Dash (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.4 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.3	3.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0	2.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.50

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 2.92 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.17

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:16 +9’	2.80	3.50	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
23:24 +66’	2.82	3.47	2.23
09:57 +20’	2.92▲	3.48▲	2.16▼
14:40 +44’	2.92	3.47▼	2.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dash (W) 0–1–5 Orlando Pride (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/09/26 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 2-0	Houston Dash (W)
04/10/25 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
08/06/25 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Houston Dash (W)
29/09/24 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Houston Dash (W)
24/08/24 USA NWSL Women	Houston Dash (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Orlando Pride (W)
15/10/23 USA NWSL Women	Orlando Pride (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Houston Dash (W)

Standings · USA NWSL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NJ/NY Gotham FC (W)	27	16	7	4	35	21	55
2	San Diego Wave (W)	27	16	3	8	40	28	51
3	Washington Spirit (W)	27	15	4	8	39	26	49
4	Utah Royals (W)	27	14	4	9	44	35	46
5	Kansas City Current (W)	27	13	5	9	48	38	44
6	Angel City FC (W)	27	12	7	8	45	29	43
7	Portland Thorns (W)	27	12	7	8	45	39	43
8	North Carolina Courage (W)	27	13	3	11	50	39	42
9	Reign FC (W)	27	12	4	11	33	32	40
10	Denver Summit FC (W)	27	10	8	9	45	37	38
11	Orlando Pride (W)	27	10	3	14	36	43	33
12	Houston Dash (W)	27	8	6	13	34	39	30
13	Boston Legacy FC (W)	27	8	5	14	36	46	29
14	Bay FC (W)	27	7	5	15	28	42	26
15	Racing Louisville FC (W)	27	7	3	17	36	52	24
16	Chicago Stars (W)	27	5	2	20	15	63	17

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Houston Dash (W)	Orlando Pride (W)
Washington Spirit (W)	2-3 L	1-0 W
Portland Thorns (W)	1-1 D	1-4 L
Utah Royals (W)	0-1 L	1-2 L
Bay FC (W)	0-1 L	3-1 W
North Carolina Courage (W)	3-2 W	0-5 L
Kansas City Current (W)	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Houston Dash (W)

DWWLLLLWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/10	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	2-3	7	1	L
27/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
20/09	Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
13/09	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
07/09	Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
31/08	Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	0	4	L
24/08	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	0-1	12	1	L
20/08	Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women	3-0	5-0	3	2	W
17/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-2	4	1	W
09/08	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-1	0	0	D

Orlando Pride (W)

LLLWLWDLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women	0-2	1-2	2	3	L
27/09	Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
19/09	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	1-2	1-4	8	2	L
12/09	Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	2-2	8	2	D
07/09	Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women	2-0	3-1	8	3	W
30/08	Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
23/08	Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
16/08	Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
08/08	Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women	0-1	1-3	8	1	L
01/08	North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women	0-3	0-5	10	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Houston Dash (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Orlando Pride (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Houston Dash (W) 32%, draw 26%, Orlando Pride (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Houston Dash (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Houston Dash (W) 1.38 · Orlando Pride (W) 1.63), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Houston Dash (W) vs Orlando Pride (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.