Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 26/07, 07:00

Prediction: Kahibah FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

Kahibah FC1.81

Belmont Swansea United SC2.48

1X2

27% 21% 52%

Kahibah FC Draw Belmont Swansea United SC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Kahibah FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Belmont Swansea United SC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWDWWL

Head-to-head

Kahibah FC 0–1–2 Belmont Swansea United SC (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kahibah FC 1418 · Belmont Swansea United SC 1540

	Kahibah FC	Draw	Belmont Swansea United SC
Our model	27%	20%	52%
Market	27%	21%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Belmont Swansea United SC (rating 1418 vs 1540).
H2H favours Belmont Swansea United SC: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kahibah FC	Belmont Swansea United SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.5	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.1	3.5 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.30

X4.33

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.5

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:28 +2’	3.30	4.33	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kahibah FC 0–1–2 Belmont Swansea United SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Belmont Swansea United SC	6-3 HT 3-1	Kahibah FC
19/04/22 Australia Northern NSW Division 1	Belmont Swansea United SC	3-1 HT 1-0	Kahibah FC
06/04/19 Australia Northern NSW Division 1	Belmont Swansea United SC	1-1 HT 0-0	Kahibah FC

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Weston Workers FC	19	11	3	5	44	31	36
3	Maitland FC	18	10	3	5	34	28	33
4	Belmont Swansea United SC	18	9	5	4	42	35	32
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	19	6	4	9	35	30	22
8	Newcastle Olympic FC	19	5	6	8	38	34	21
9	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	18	4	2	12	28	46	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24	49	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kahibah FC	Belmont Swansea United SC
Weston Workers FC	2-5 L	2-2 D
Valentine Phoenix	2-3 L	1-1 D
Adamstown Rosebud	1-2 L	2-2 D
Charlestown Azzurri	4-1 W	3-1 W
Newcastle Olympic FC	3-3 D	2-5 L
Lambton Jaffas	0-4 L	2-1 W
Cooks Hill United	0-3 L	3-1 W
Broadmeadow Magic	1-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Belmont Swansea United SC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kahibah FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-3	2-5	2	3	L
12/07	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-2	2-3	2	4	L
03/07	Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-2	0	1	L
24/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	0	2	L
21/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
14/06	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-3	6	3	D
16/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-4	4	6	L
08/05	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
03/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	1-3	3	4	L
26/04	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-3	3-6	5	2	L

Belmont Swansea United SC

WWDDLWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-4	2-5	2	1	L
27/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	3	6	W
20/06	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
13/06	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	6	1	D
05/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	3-1	12	4	W
30/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
16/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
09/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-0	2-2	8	2	D
02/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
26/04	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-1	6-3	9	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kahibah FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Belmont Swansea United SC win (52%). Probabilities: Kahibah FC 27%, draw 21%, Belmont Swansea United SC 52%.

How many goals are expected in Kahibah FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

The model expects 4.29 goals (Kahibah FC 1.81 · Belmont Swansea United SC 2.48), with a 54% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kahibah FC vs Belmont Swansea United SC?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.