Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 26/07, 05:00

Prediction: Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

Edgeworth Eagles2.08

Newcastle Olympic FC1.68

1X2

47% 22% 31%

Edgeworth Eagles Draw Newcastle Olympic FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Edgeworth Eagles 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Newcastle Olympic FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Edgeworth Eagles 4–2–0 Newcastle Olympic FC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Edgeworth Eagles 1520 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1487

	Edgeworth Eagles	Draw	Newcastle Olympic FC
Our model	47%	23%	31%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Edgeworth Eagles: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Edgeworth Eagles	Newcastle Olympic FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.6

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
02:28 +2’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Edgeworth Eagles 4–2–0 Newcastle Olympic FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	3-3 HT 1-2	Edgeworth Eagles
20/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	2-3 HT 1-0	Edgeworth Eagles
26/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	3-0 HT 2-0	Newcastle Olympic FC
12/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Newcastle Olympic FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Edgeworth Eagles
25/05/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Edgeworth Eagles	4-0 HT 2-0	Newcastle Olympic FC
02/03/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League	Newcastle Olympic FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Edgeworth Eagles

Standings · Australia Northern NSW Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Broadmeadow Magic	18	12	4	2	49	22	40
2	Weston Workers FC	19	11	3	5	44	31	36
3	Maitland FC	18	10	3	5	34	28	33
4	Belmont Swansea United SC	18	9	5	4	42	35	32
5	Edgeworth Eagles	17	8	5	4	34	29	29
6	Cooks Hill United	18	7	5	6	36	31	26
7	Lambton Jaffas	19	6	4	9	35	30	22
8	Newcastle Olympic FC	19	5	6	8	38	34	21
9	Valentine Phoenix	18	5	4	9	18	36	19
10	Adamstown Rosebud	18	4	5	9	25	36	17
11	Kahibah FC	18	4	2	12	28	46	14
12	Charlestown Azzurri	18	4	2	12	24	49	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Edgeworth Eagles	Newcastle Olympic FC
Kahibah FC	2-1 W	3-3 D
Adamstown Rosebud	3-2 W	0-2 L
Lambton Jaffas	3-2 W	0-2 L
Valentine Phoenix	1-2 L	6-1 W
Cooks Hill United	0-1 L	0-0 D
Charlestown Azzurri	0-0 D	7-1 W
Broadmeadow Magic	2-3 L	1-2 L
Maitland FC	3-1 W	0-1 L
Weston Workers FC	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Edgeworth Eagles (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Edgeworth Eagles

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/07	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	3-2	5	1	W
23/06	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	3-2	8	1	W
20/06	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	0	L
06/06	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-0	10	6	D
17/05	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	2-3	3	4	L
12/05	Cooks Hill United Australia Cup Qualifying	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/05	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-0	3-1	4	4	W
03/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-1	2-2	5	3	D

Newcastle Olympic FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	4-1	5-2	10	1	W
12/07	Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	7	2	L
01/07	Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League	4-0	7-1	1	4	W
27/06	Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
21/06	Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
14/06	Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	2-1	3-3	8	3	D
30/05	Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
17/05	Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
10/05	Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League	0-1	0-2	6	1	L
02/05	Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League	3-1	6-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Edgeworth Eagles win (47%). Probabilities: Edgeworth Eagles 47%, draw 22%, Newcastle Olympic FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

The model expects 3.76 goals (Edgeworth Eagles 2.08 · Newcastle Olympic FC 1.68), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Edgeworth Eagles vs Newcastle Olympic FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.