Football · South Korea K League 1 · 01/08, 12:30
Prediction: Gangwon FC vs Bucheon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Gangwon FC1.4
Bucheon0.5
1X2
Gangwon FC
Draw
Bucheon
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gangwon FC
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Bucheon
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gangwon FC
2–1–3
Bucheon
(6 last)
- Bucheon0-0Gangwon FC
- Bucheon1-2Gangwon FC
- Gangwon FC0-1Bucheon
- Gangwon FC0-2Bucheon
- Bucheon0-1Gangwon FC
- Bucheon3-1Gangwon FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gangwon FC (rating 1551 vs 1471).
- H2H favours Bucheon: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangwon FC | Bucheon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.9 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangwon FC 2–1–3 Bucheon
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 South Korea K League 1 | Bucheon | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 05/11/16 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Gangwon FC |
| 05/10/16 South Korea K League 2 | Gangwon FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Bucheon |
| 20/08/16 South Korea K League 2 | Gangwon FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Bucheon |
| 10/07/16 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 16/05/16 South Korea K League 2 | Bucheon | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Gangwon FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 32 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 28 |
| 6 | FC Anyang | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 27 |
| 7 | Incheon Utd | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 27 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 24 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 19 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gangwon FC | Bucheon |
|---|---|---|
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Jeju United | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Seoul | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Ulsan HD | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Incheon Utd | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gangwon FC (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 21/07 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
Bucheon
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 22/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 11/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gangwon FC vs Bucheon?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gangwon FC win (58%). Probabilities: Gangwon FC 58%, draw 29%, Bucheon 12%.
How many goals are expected in Gangwon FC vs Bucheon?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Gangwon FC 1.4 · Bucheon 0.5), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gangwon FC vs Bucheon?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.