Football · South Korea K League 1 · 08/08, 12:30

Prediction: Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul

Team pages: Gimcheon Sangmu FC · FC Seoul

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Gimcheon Sangmu FC1.76

FC Seoul1.22

1X2

49% 26% 25%

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Draw FC Seoul

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Seoul 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1–2 FC Seoul (6 last)

FC Seoul2-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
FC Seoul1-3Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC5-2FC Seoul
Gimcheon Sangmu FC0-1FC Seoul
FC Seoul0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Gimcheon Sangmu FC1-3FC Seoul

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	FC Seoul
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	3.7 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.5	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.52.01

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:11

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.89 → 3.89	Pinn 3.89
X	3.66 → 3.66	Pinn 3.66
2	1.92 → 1.92	Pinn 1.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
01:11	3.89	3.66	1.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1–2 FC Seoul

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	2-3 HT 1-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
22/11/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	1-3 HT 1-1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
17/08/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	5-2 HT 3-2	FC Seoul
28/05/25 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Seoul
03/03/25 South Korea K League 1	FC Seoul	0-0 HT 0-0	Gimcheon Sangmu FC
23/11/24 South Korea K League 1	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	1-3 HT 0-1	FC Seoul

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	21	13	4	4	35	17	43
2	Jeonbuk Motors	21	9	7	5	27	16	34
3	Gangwon FC	21	8	8	5	25	17	32
4	Ulsan HD	20	9	4	7	30	29	31
5	FC Anyang	20	7	9	4	28	23	30
6	Incheon Utd	20	8	4	8	25	21	28
7	Pohang Steelers	21	8	4	9	20	22	28
8	Jeju SK	20	7	6	7	19	20	27
9	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	21	4	11	6	22	28	23
10	Bucheon	21	5	8	8	21	25	23
11	Daejeon Hana Citizen	20	4	8	8	23	23	20
12	Gwangju FC	20	1	7	12	11	45	10

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	FC Seoul
Pohang Steelers	1-0 W	3-1 W
Daejeon Hana Citizen	3-2 W	2-1 W
Gwangju FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Gangwon FC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Bucheon	1-1 D	3-1 W
Jeju United	1-1 D	1-2 L
Jeonbuk Motors	0-1 L	0-0 D
Incheon Utd	0-3 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Seoul (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Gimcheon Sangmu FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
29/07	Suwon FC South Korea Cup	1-0	2-1	2	1	W
25/07	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
22/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	11	1	D
18/07	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-2	3	6	L
11/07	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
05/07	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
17/05	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
13/05	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-1	2-2	3	3	D
09/05	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-3	4	6	L

FC Seoul

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
29/07	Busan I Park South Korea Cup	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
26/07	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
22/07	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
19/07	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	1-0	3-1	4	7	W
12/07	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
05/07	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
16/05	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-1	6	6	W
12/05	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
09/05	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-2	12	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimcheon Sangmu FC win (49%). Probabilities: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 49%, draw 26%, FC Seoul 25%.

How many goals are expected in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.76 · FC Seoul 1.22), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs FC Seoul?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.