Football · South Korea K League 1 · 02/08, 12:30
Prediction: Ulsan HD vs FC Anyang
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Ulsan HD1.38
FC Anyang1.3
1X2
Ulsan HD
Draw
FC Anyang
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ulsan HD
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FC Anyang
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ulsan HD
1–2–2
FC Anyang
(5 last)
- FC Anyang1-1Ulsan HD
- FC Anyang3-1Ulsan HD
- Ulsan HD0-0FC Anyang
- FC Anyang0-1Ulsan HD
- Ulsan HD0-1FC Anyang
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Anyang (rating 1493 vs 1536).
- H2H favours FC Anyang: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ulsan HD | FC Anyang | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.4 | 1.6 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ulsan HD 1–2–2 FC Anyang
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 01/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Ulsan HD |
| 21/09/25 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Anyang |
| 23/04/25 South Korea K League 1 | FC Anyang | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ulsan HD |
| 16/02/25 South Korea K League 1 | Ulsan HD | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Anyang |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | FC Anyang | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 30 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 28 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 27 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 20 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ulsan HD | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Incheon Utd | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Gwangju FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Gangwon FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Jeju United | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Bucheon | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Anyang (3 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ulsan HD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 05/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
FC Anyang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 22/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/07 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ulsan HD vs FC Anyang?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ulsan HD win (38%). Probabilities: Ulsan HD 38%, draw 28%, FC Anyang 34%.
How many goals are expected in Ulsan HD vs FC Anyang?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Ulsan HD 1.38 · FC Anyang 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ulsan HD vs FC Anyang?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.