Football · South Korea K League 1 · 02/08, 12:30
Prediction: Jeju United vs Incheon Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Jeju United1.13
Incheon Utd0.84
1X2
Jeju United
Draw
Incheon Utd
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Jeju United
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Incheon Utd
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Jeju United
3–3
Incheon Utd
(6 last)
- Incheon Utd1-0Jeju United
- Incheon Utd1-2Jeju United
- Jeju United0-1Incheon Utd
- Jeju United1-0Incheon Utd
- Incheon Utd0-1Jeju United
- Incheon Utd2-1Jeju United
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeju United | Incheon Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeju United 3–0–3 Incheon Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 19/10/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 10/08/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 26/06/24 South Korea K League 1 | Jeju United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Incheon Utd |
| 06/04/24 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jeju United |
| 16/09/23 South Korea K League 1 | Incheon Utd | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Jeju United |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 17 | 42 |
| 2 | Jeonbuk Motors | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 33 |
| 3 | Gangwon FC | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Ulsan HD | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 31 |
| 5 | FC Anyang | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 28 | 23 | 30 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 21 | 28 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 27 |
| 9 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 20 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 20 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 20 |
| 11 | Bucheon | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 20 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 45 | 10 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeju United | Incheon Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Gwangju FC | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Gangwon FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Pohang Steelers | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| FC Anyang | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ulsan HD | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Seoul | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Bucheon | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Jeonbuk Motors | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeju United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 21/07 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
Incheon Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/07 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jeju United vs Incheon Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Jeju United win (41%). Probabilities: Jeju United 41%, draw 33%, Incheon Utd 26%.
How many goals are expected in Jeju United vs Incheon Utd?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Jeju United 1.13 · Incheon Utd 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Jeju United vs Incheon Utd?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.