Football · South Korea K League 1 · 26/08, 12:30

Prediction: Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD

Team pages: Daejeon Hana Citizen · Ulsan HD

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Daejeon Hana Citizen1.97

Ulsan HD1.29

1X2

52% 24% 24%

Daejeon Hana Citizen Draw Ulsan HD

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Daejeon Hana Citizen 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLDDDDLWWL

Ulsan HD 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLDLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–1–2 Ulsan HD (6 last)

Daejeon Hana Citizen2-2Ulsan HD
Ulsan HD1-4Daejeon Hana Citizen
Ulsan HD1-2Daejeon Hana Citizen
Ulsan HD2-3Daejeon Hana Citizen
Daejeon Hana Citizen0-2Ulsan HD
Daejeon Hana Citizen0-1Ulsan HD

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daejeon Hana Citizen (rating 1513 vs 1467).
H2H favours Daejeon Hana Citizen: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Ulsan HD
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.6	1.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.32 → 2.32	Pinn 2.32
X	3.58 → 3.58	Pinn 3.58
2	2.94 → 2.94	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:18 +2’	2.32	3.58	2.94

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Daejeon Hana Citizen 3–1–2 Ulsan HD

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	2-2 HT 2-1	Ulsan HD
26/04/26 South Korea K League 1	Ulsan HD	1-4 HT 0-3	Daejeon Hana Citizen
23/07/25 South Korea K League 1	Ulsan HD	1-2 HT 1-1	Daejeon Hana Citizen
01/04/25 South Korea K League 1	Ulsan HD	2-3 HT 2-2	Daejeon Hana Citizen
23/02/25 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	0-2 HT 0-1	Ulsan HD
27/09/24 South Korea K League 1	Daejeon Hana Citizen	0-1 HT 0-1	Ulsan HD

Standings · South Korea K League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Seoul	24	15	5	4	46	19	50
2	Ulsan HD	24	11	4	9	37	34	37
3	Jeonbuk Motors	24	10	7	7	31	22	37
4	Gangwon FC	22	9	8	5	28	19	35
5	Jeju SK	24	9	8	7	27	24	35
6	Pohang Steelers	24	9	4	11	22	28	31
7	FC Anyang	24	7	9	8	30	37	30
8	Incheon Utd	22	8	6	8	29	25	30
9	Bucheon	24	7	9	8	27	27	30
10	Daejeon Hana Citizen	23	6	8	9	29	28	26
11	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	24	4	14	6	23	29	26
12	Gwangju FC	23	1	8	14	12	49	11

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Daejeon Hana Citizen	Ulsan HD
FC Seoul	2-4 L	3-1 W
FC Anyang	2-1 W	3-1 W
Gwangju FC	2-0 W	1-1 D
Jeonbuk Motors	0-0 D	0-1 L
Gangwon FC	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ulsan HD (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daejeon Hana Citizen

LLDDDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	1-0	2-4	8	6	L
08/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
02/08	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	8	2	W
25/07	Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-3	6	3	L
21/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
18/07	Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1	2-1	2-2	6	1	D
12/07	Jeju United South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
04/07	Bucheon South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-2	4	5	D
16/05	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/05	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-2	1	1	L

Ulsan HD

LDLDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
16/08	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-3	3	3	L
08/08	Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/08	FC Anyang South Korea K League 1	0-0	3-1	2	1	W
26/07	FC Seoul South Korea K League 1	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
21/07	Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
18/07	Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1	1-2	2-2	3	1	D
11/07	Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1	0-1	1-3	2	5	L
05/07	Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
17/05	Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1	0-2	0-2	1	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Daejeon Hana Citizen win (52%). Probabilities: Daejeon Hana Citizen 52%, draw 24%, Ulsan HD 24%.

How many goals are expected in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Daejeon Hana Citizen 1.97 · Ulsan HD 1.29), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Ulsan HD?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.