Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 28/08, 12:00

Prediction: Sydney University vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Team pages: Sydney University · Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Sydney University1.7

Bonnyrigg White Eagles1.55

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Sydney University Draw Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney University 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDWWLLWL

Bonnyrigg White Eagles 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDDWWLW

Head-to-head

Sydney University 0–1–1 Bonnyrigg White Eagles (2 last)

Bonnyrigg White Eagles2-1Sydney University
Bonnyrigg White Eagles3-3Sydney University

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney University 1503 · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1555

	Sydney University	Draw	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bonnyrigg White Eagles (rating 1503 vs 1555).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney University	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.4	2.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 7.7	2.5 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:01 +7’	2.20	3.60	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney University 0–1–1 Bonnyrigg White Eagles

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2-1 HT 0-1	Sydney University
30/01/21 Australia Friendlies	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3-3 HT 3-3	Sydney University

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	27	22	2	3	97	29	68
2	Parramatta Eagles	27	17	3	7	68	35	54
3	Dunbar Rovers FC	27	14	5	8	50	32	47
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	27	14	4	9	52	42	46
5	Fraser Park	27	13	6	8	48	34	45
6	Western Rage	27	13	5	9	51	53	44
7	Central Coast United FC	27	12	5	10	44	44	41
8	Sydney University	27	11	4	12	45	39	37
9	Hawkesbury City SC	27	11	3	13	51	70	36
10	South Coast Flame FC	27	9	8	10	34	37	35
11	Gladesville Ryde Magic	28	9	2	17	40	67	29
12	Nepean FC	27	8	4	15	47	66	28
13	Inner West Hawks	27	8	4	15	37	51	28
14	Bankstown United FC	27	6	6	15	31	56	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	27	2	7	18	34	74	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney University	Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Dunbar Rovers FC	0-1 L	0-0 D
Nepean FC	4-1 W	4-2 W
Camden Tigers SC	3-1 W	4-0 W
Hawkesbury City SC	8-0 W	2-1 W
Bankstown United FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Inner West Hawks	2-2 D	4-0 W
Western Rage	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Bonnyrigg White Eagles (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney University

DDWDWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
01/08	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-3	–	–	L
24/07	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	2-4	9	3	L
18/07	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	8-0	–	–	W
03/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
27/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/06	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	2-2	5	8	D
13/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D

Bonnyrigg White Eagles

WLWWDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
15/08	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	0-4	5	5	L
08/08	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
31/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
26/07	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
18/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
11/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
04/07	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
28/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
20/06	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney University vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney University win (41%). Probabilities: Sydney University 41%, draw 25%, Bonnyrigg White Eagles 34%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney University vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Sydney University 1.7 · Bonnyrigg White Eagles 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney University vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.