Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 29/08, 09:00

Prediction: Inner West Hawks vs Central Coast United FC

Team pages: Inner West Hawks · Central Coast United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Inner West Hawks1.63

Central Coast United FC1.54

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Inner West Hawks Draw Central Coast United FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Inner West Hawks 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LDLWLLWLLL

Central Coast United FC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

Inner West Hawks 2–4 Central Coast United FC (6 last)

Central Coast United FC2-1Inner West Hawks
Inner West Hawks2-3Central Coast United FC
Central Coast United FC0-2Inner West Hawks
Central Coast United FC0-1Inner West Hawks
Inner West Hawks2-3Central Coast United FC
Central Coast United FC3-2Inner West Hawks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inner West Hawks 1428 · Central Coast United FC 1552

	Inner West Hawks	Draw	Central Coast United FC
Our model	39%	26%	35%
Market	39%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Coast United FC (rating 1428 vs 1552).
H2H favours Central Coast United FC: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Inner West Hawks	Central Coast United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.3	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.5	2 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	6 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.70 → 3.50▼	Bet365 3.50
2	2.45 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:11 +13’	2.30	3.70	2.45
02:03 +7’	2.30	3.50▼	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Inner West Hawks 2–0–4 Central Coast United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	2-1 HT 0-0	Inner West Hawks
21/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Inner West Hawks	2-3 HT 1-0	Central Coast United FC
09/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Inner West Hawks
24/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Inner West Hawks
17/02/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Inner West Hawks	2-3 HT 0-2	Central Coast United FC
23/04/22 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast United FC	3-2 HT 1-1	Inner West Hawks

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	27	22	2	3	97	29	68
2	Parramatta Eagles	27	17	3	7	68	35	54
3	Dunbar Rovers FC	27	14	5	8	50	32	47
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	27	14	4	9	52	42	46
5	Fraser Park	27	13	6	8	48	34	45
6	Western Rage	27	13	5	9	51	53	44
7	Central Coast United FC	27	12	5	10	44	44	41
8	Sydney University	27	11	4	12	45	39	37
9	Hawkesbury City SC	27	11	3	13	51	70	36
10	South Coast Flame FC	27	9	8	10	34	37	35
11	Gladesville Ryde Magic	28	9	2	17	40	67	29
12	Nepean FC	27	8	4	15	47	66	28
13	Inner West Hawks	27	8	4	15	37	51	28
14	Bankstown United FC	27	6	6	15	31	56	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	27	2	7	18	34	74	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Inner West Hawks	Central Coast United FC
Dunbar Rovers FC	1-2 L	0-3 L
South Coast Flame FC	2-0 W	0-1 L
Parramatta Eagles	2-4 L	2-1 W
Fraser Park	1-3 L	1-2 L
Hawkesbury City SC	0-2 L	4-2 W
Sydney University	2-2 D	3-1 W
Gladesville Ryde Magic	0-2 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Central Coast United FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inner West Hawks

LDLWLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
15/08	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-4	–	–	L
01/08	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
25/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
18/07	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	2-4	4	2	L
10/07	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-3	6	5	L
04/07	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
27/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-2	2-2	7	8	D
13/06	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L

Central Coast United FC

WWWLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-2	4	10	L
08/08	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-2	4-2	–	–	W
01/08	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
18/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/07	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
04/07	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
27/06	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
20/06	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inner West Hawks vs Central Coast United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Inner West Hawks win (39%). Probabilities: Inner West Hawks 39%, draw 26%, Central Coast United FC 35%.

How many goals are expected in Inner West Hawks vs Central Coast United FC?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Inner West Hawks 1.63 · Central Coast United FC 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inner West Hawks vs Central Coast United FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.