Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 28/08, 12:00

Prediction: Mounties Wanderers vs South Coast Flame FC

Team pages: Mounties Wanderers · South Coast Flame FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Mounties Wanderers2.87

South Coast Flame FC0.87

1X2

80% 13% 7%

Mounties Wanderers Draw South Coast Flame FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

2-0 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Mounties Wanderers 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWWWL

South Coast Flame FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLLLWD

Head-to-head

Mounties Wanderers 1–2–0 South Coast Flame FC (3 last)

South Coast Flame FC1-1Mounties Wanderers
South Coast Flame FC0-5Mounties Wanderers
Mounties Wanderers3-3South Coast Flame FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mounties Wanderers 1603 · South Coast Flame FC 1489

	Mounties Wanderers	Draw	South Coast Flame FC
Our model	78%	14%	8%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mounties Wanderers (rating 1603 vs 1489).
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mounties Wanderers	South Coast Flame FC
Goals for / against (FT)	4 / 1.2	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 4.8	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0.3	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.13

X8.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.82

2 (+2.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	15.00 → 15.00	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.1%

Time*	1	X	2
06:52 +13’	1.13	8.00	15.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mounties Wanderers 1–2–0 South Coast Flame FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	South Coast Flame FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Mounties Wanderers
13/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	South Coast Flame FC	0-5 HT 0-3	Mounties Wanderers
23/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Mounties Wanderers	3-3 HT 1-2	South Coast Flame FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	27	22	2	3	97	29	68
2	Parramatta Eagles	27	17	3	7	68	35	54
3	Dunbar Rovers FC	27	14	5	8	50	32	47
4	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	27	14	4	9	52	42	46
5	Fraser Park	27	13	6	8	48	34	45
6	Western Rage	27	13	5	9	51	53	44
7	Central Coast United FC	27	12	5	10	44	44	41
8	Sydney University	27	11	4	12	45	39	37
9	Hawkesbury City SC	27	11	3	13	51	70	36
10	South Coast Flame FC	27	9	8	10	34	37	35
11	Gladesville Ryde Magic	28	9	2	17	40	67	29
12	Nepean FC	27	8	4	15	47	66	28
13	Inner West Hawks	27	8	4	15	37	51	28
14	Bankstown United FC	27	6	6	15	31	56	24
15	Camden Tigers SC	27	2	7	18	34	74	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mounties Wanderers	South Coast Flame FC
Hawkesbury City SC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Inner West Hawks	4-1 W	0-2 L
Bankstown United FC	4-2 W	1-0 W
Gladesville Ryde Magic	6-1 W	1-1 D
Camden Tigers SC	6-0 W	1-1 D
Parramatta Eagles	6-0 W	1-3 L
Fraser Park	4-1 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Mounties Wanderers (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mounties Wanderers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
15/08	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	4-1	–	–	W
07/08	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-2	5	1	W
24/07	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	4-2	4	3	W
18/07	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	6-1	7	0	W
10/07	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	3-0	6-0	6	1	W
03/07	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	4-2	–	–	W
27/06	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/06	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	4-0	6-0	3	2	W
12/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	4-1	4	1	W

South Coast Flame FC

DDWWDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	5	1	D
15/08	Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
31/07	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	2-3	1	2	L
25/07	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
18/07	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
11/07	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
04/07	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-0	11	9	W
27/06	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mounties Wanderers vs South Coast Flame FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mounties Wanderers win (80%). Probabilities: Mounties Wanderers 80%, draw 13%, South Coast Flame FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Mounties Wanderers vs South Coast Flame FC?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Mounties Wanderers 2.87 · South Coast Flame FC 0.87), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Mounties Wanderers vs South Coast Flame FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.