Prediction: Fraser Park vs Inner West Hawks
Expected goals: 2.54 (Fraser Park 1.56 · Inner West Hawks 0.98). The model gives 51% home, 25% draw, 24% away. Under 3 goals (58%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Fraser Park sits at 3-3-4 (W-D-L), while Inner West Hawks arrives on a 2-2-6 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Fraser Park and 3 for Inner West Hawks, with 1 draw.
| Fraser Park | Draw | Inner West Hawks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 28% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Inner West Hawks: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fraser Park | Inner West Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fraser Park 1–1–3 Inner West Hawks
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Fraser Park |
| 20/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Fraser Park | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Inner West Hawks |
| 05/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Fraser Park |
| 27/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Fraser Park | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Inner West Hawks |
| 20/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Fraser Park |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 6 | Hawkesbury City SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 45 | 30 |
| 7 | Central Coast United FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 46 | 29 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | South Coast Flame FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 48 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 55 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fraser Park | Inner West Hawks |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney University | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Hawkesbury City SC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Mounties Wanderers | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 1-0 W | 2-4 L |
| Bankstown United FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Camden Tigers SC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fraser Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 05/06 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Inner West Hawks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fraser Park vs Inner West Hawks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fraser Park win (51%). Probabilities: Fraser Park 51%, draw 25%, Inner West Hawks 24%.
How many goals are expected in Fraser Park vs Inner West Hawks?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Fraser Park 1.56 · Inner West Hawks 0.98), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Fraser Park vs Inner West Hawks?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.