Prediction: Dunbar Rovers FC vs Central Coast United FC
Expected goals: 3.07 (Dunbar Rovers FC 1.55 · Central Coast United FC 1.52). The model gives 38% home, 25% draw, 37% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Dunbar Rovers FC with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Central Coast United FC has piled up 7-2-1 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Dunbar Rovers FC and 2 for Central Coast United FC.
| Dunbar Rovers FC | Draw | Central Coast United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Central Coast United FC (rating 1521 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Dunbar Rovers FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunbar Rovers FC | Central Coast United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunbar Rovers FC 3–0–2 Central Coast United FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast United FC | 1-5 HT 1-1 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
| 28/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast United FC | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
| 15/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Central Coast United FC |
| 08/07/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Central Coast United FC |
| 29/05/21 Australia New South Wales League 3 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Central Coast United FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 6 | Hawkesbury City SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 45 | 30 |
| 7 | Central Coast United FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 46 | 29 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | South Coast Flame FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 48 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 55 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunbar Rovers FC | Central Coast United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Western Rage | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Mounties Wanderers | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Camden Tigers SC | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Nepean FC | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| South Coast Flame FC | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Parramatta Eagles | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Fraser Park | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Coast United FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunbar Rovers FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
Central Coast United FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunbar Rovers FC vs Central Coast United FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunbar Rovers FC win (38%). Probabilities: Dunbar Rovers FC 38%, draw 25%, Central Coast United FC 37%.
How many goals are expected in Dunbar Rovers FC vs Central Coast United FC?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Dunbar Rovers FC 1.55 · Central Coast United FC 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunbar Rovers FC vs Central Coast United FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.