Prediction: Mounties Wanderers vs Camden Tigers SC
Expected goals: 4.64 (Mounties Wanderers 3.32 · Camden Tigers SC 1.32). The model gives 83% home, 10% draw, 7% away. Under 4.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 3-1.
On recent form, Mounties Wanderers is 7-2-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Camden Tigers SC 0-3-7 over its own. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Mounties Wanderers and 1 for Camden Tigers SC.
| Mounties Wanderers | Draw | Camden Tigers SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 90% | 7% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mounties Wanderers (rating 1601 vs 1400).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mounties Wanderers | Camden Tigers SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.8 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.4 | 2.3 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mounties Wanderers 1–0–1 Camden Tigers SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Camden Tigers SC | 2-4 HT 0-2 | Mounties Wanderers |
| 26/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Mounties Wanderers | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Camden Tigers SC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 6 | Hawkesbury City SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 45 | 30 |
| 7 | Central Coast United FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 46 | 29 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | South Coast Flame FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 48 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 55 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mounties Wanderers | Camden Tigers SC |
|---|---|---|
| Dunbar Rovers FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Parramatta Eagles | 6-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Fraser Park | 4-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Central Coast United FC | 1-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 7-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Western Rage | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| South Coast Flame FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Inner West Hawks | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 2 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Mounties Wanderers (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mounties Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
Camden Tigers SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mounties Wanderers vs Camden Tigers SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mounties Wanderers win (83%). Probabilities: Mounties Wanderers 83%, draw 10%, Camden Tigers SC 7%.
How many goals are expected in Mounties Wanderers vs Camden Tigers SC?
The model expects 4.64 goals (Mounties Wanderers 3.32 · Camden Tigers SC 1.32), with a 54% chance of under 4.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Mounties Wanderers vs Camden Tigers SC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.