Prediction: Parramatta Eagles vs Western Rage
Expected goals: 3.46 (Parramatta Eagles 2.05 · Western Rage 1.42). The model gives 52% home, 22% draw, 26% away. Over 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Parramatta Eagles with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Western Rage has piled up 3-2-5 in the same span. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Parramatta Eagles won 0 and Western Rage 3, with 2 draws.
| Parramatta Eagles | Draw | Western Rage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Market | 52% | 21% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parramatta Eagles (rating 1532 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Western Rage: 3-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Parramatta Eagles | Western Rage | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Parramatta Eagles 0–2–3 Western Rage
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Western Rage | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Parramatta Eagles |
| 31/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Western Rage |
| 15/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Western Rage | 6-3 HT 4-0 | Parramatta Eagles |
| 29/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Western Rage |
| 22/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Western Rage | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Parramatta Eagles |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 68 | 21 | 50 |
| 2 | Parramatta Eagles | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 36 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 4 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 31 |
| 5 | Fraser Park | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 32 | 22 | 30 |
| 6 | Hawkesbury City SC | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 45 | 30 |
| 7 | Central Coast United FC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 29 |
| 8 | Western Rage | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 40 | 46 | 29 |
| 9 | Sydney University | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
| 10 | Nepean FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | South Coast Flame FC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 27 |
| 12 | Inner West Hawks | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Gladesville Ryde Magic | 21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 48 | 25 |
| 14 | Bankstown United FC | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Camden Tigers SC | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 55 | 9 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Parramatta Eagles | Western Rage |
|---|---|---|
| Nepean FC | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Mounties Wanderers | 0-6 L | 1-4 L |
| Central Coast United FC | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Sydney University | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dunbar Rovers FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Camden Tigers SC | 5-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Fraser Park | 0-0 D | 0-9 L |
| Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| South Coast Flame FC | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Parramatta Eagles (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Parramatta Eagles
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/06 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-4 | 0-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
Western Rage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/06 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-6 | 0-9 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Parramatta Eagles vs Western Rage?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Parramatta Eagles win (52%). Probabilities: Parramatta Eagles 52%, draw 22%, Western Rage 26%.
How many goals are expected in Parramatta Eagles vs Western Rage?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Parramatta Eagles 2.05 · Western Rage 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Parramatta Eagles vs Western Rage?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.