Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Hills United FC vs Rydalmere Lions FC

Team pages: Hills United FC · Rydalmere Lions FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Hills United FC1.77

Rydalmere Lions FC1.25

1X2

49% 24% 27%

Hills United FC Draw Rydalmere Lions FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hills United FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Rydalmere Lions FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLDLL

Head-to-head

Hills United FC 4–2 Rydalmere Lions FC (6 last)

Rydalmere Lions FC1-2Hills United FC
Rydalmere Lions FC2-0Hills United FC
Hills United FC0-3Rydalmere Lions FC
Hills United FC4-3Rydalmere Lions FC
Rydalmere Lions FC0-3Hills United FC
Rydalmere Lions FC1-3Hills United FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hills United FC 1528 · Rydalmere Lions FC 1472

	Hills United FC	Draw	Rydalmere Lions FC
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hills United FC (rating 1528 vs 1472).
H2H favours Hills United FC: 4-0-2.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hills United FC	Rydalmere Lions FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	3.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +13’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC 4–0–2 Rydalmere Lions FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Hills United FC
19/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Hills United FC
05/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	0-3 HT 0-3	Rydalmere Lions FC
17/06/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	4-3 HT 1-1	Rydalmere Lions FC
04/03/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Rydalmere Lions FC	0-3 HT 0-3	Hills United FC
01/06/19 Australia New South Wales League 2	Rydalmere Lions FC	1-3 HT 1-2	Hills United FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	28	20	5	3	71	32	65
2	Northern Tigers	28	15	8	5	49	28	53
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	28	15	5	8	51	42	50
4	Macarthur Rams	28	14	6	8	36	30	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	28	13	6	9	65	51	45
6	Hills United FC	28	12	7	9	51	44	43
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	28	10	9	9	57	46	39
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	28	10	8	10	39	41	38
9	Bulls FC Academy	28	11	4	13	50	45	37
10	Hurstville FC	28	9	6	13	40	46	33
11	Inter Lions	28	9	5	14	36	52	32
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	28	8	7	13	44	55	31
13	Dulwich Hill	28	7	9	12	38	53	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	28	6	10	12	50	61	28
15	Prospect United	28	3	14	11	29	47	23
16	Western City Rangers	28	5	5	18	31	64	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hills United FC	Rydalmere Lions FC
Western City Rangers	2-1 W	1-0 W
Canterbury Bankstown FC	4-0 W	1-5 L
Newcastle Jets NPL	1-2 L	1-1 D
Hakoah Sydney City East	2-1 W	0-1 L
Inter Lions	2-2 D	4-0 W
Northern Tigers	1-2 L	1-2 L
Prospect United	0-0 D	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hills United FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hills United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	4-0	11	2	W
01/08	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-2	4	3	D
25/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
18/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
11/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
27/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
13/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W

Rydalmere Lions FC

WLLWWWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
08/08	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
01/08	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
18/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
11/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	8	4	W
05/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	7	3	L
20/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-5	9	1	L
13/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hills United FC vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hills United FC win (49%). Probabilities: Hills United FC 49%, draw 24%, Rydalmere Lions FC 27%.

How many goals are expected in Hills United FC vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Hills United FC 1.77 · Rydalmere Lions FC 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hills United FC vs Rydalmere Lions FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.