Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 29/08, 11:00

Prediction: Bulls FC Academy vs Blacktown Spartans

Team pages: Bulls FC Academy · Blacktown Spartans

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

Bulls FC Academy1.44

Blacktown Spartans2.63

1X2

19% 19% 62%

Bulls FC Academy Draw Blacktown Spartans

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Bulls FC Academy 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWLLDL

Blacktown Spartans 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Bulls FC Academy 1–2–3 Blacktown Spartans (6 last)

Blacktown Spartans3-2Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy1-2Blacktown Spartans
Blacktown Spartans2-2Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy1-2Blacktown Spartans
Blacktown Spartans2-3Bulls FC Academy
Blacktown Spartans1-1Bulls FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulls FC Academy 1459 · Blacktown Spartans 1630

	Bulls FC Academy	Draw	Blacktown Spartans
Our model	19%	19%	62%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blacktown Spartans (rating 1459 vs 1630).
H2H favours Blacktown Spartans: 3-2-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulls FC Academy	Blacktown Spartans
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.2	3.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	3.3 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.3	1.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:05 +9’	4.75	4.75	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy 1–2–3 Blacktown Spartans

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	3-2 HT 2-1	Bulls FC Academy
28/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	1-2 HT 1-1	Blacktown Spartans
14/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	2-2 HT 1-1	Bulls FC Academy
05/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	1-2 HT 0-1	Blacktown Spartans
28/02/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Blacktown Spartans	2-3 HT 2-2	Bulls FC Academy
10/08/19 Australia New South Wales League 2	Blacktown Spartans	1-1 HT 0-0	Bulls FC Academy

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	29	21	5	3	77	34	68
2	Northern Tigers	29	16	8	5	52	30	56
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	29	16	5	8	56	43	53
4	Canterbury Bankstown FC	29	14	6	9	68	51	48
5	Macarthur Rams	29	14	6	9	38	33	48
6	Hills United FC	29	13	7	9	54	45	46
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	29	9	11	9	53	51	38
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	29	10	7	12	39	46	37
9	Bulls FC Academy	29	11	4	14	50	48	37
10	Hurstville FC	29	10	5	14	44	51	35
11	Inter Lions	29	10	5	14	38	52	35
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	29	8	7	14	46	59	31
13	Dulwich Hill	29	7	9	13	38	55	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	29	6	11	12	53	64	29
15	Western City Rangers	29	6	6	17	37	59	24
16	Prospect United	29	3	14	12	30	52	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulls FC Academy	Blacktown Spartans
Canterbury Bankstown FC	0-3 L	2-1 W
Northern Tigers	1-1 D	3-0 W
Macarthur Rams	0-1 L	2-0 W
Central Coast Mariners U21	3-1 W	2-0 W
Dulwich Hill	5-3 W	1-1 D
Prospect United	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hurstville FC	4-1 W	6-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Blacktown Spartans (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bulls FC Academy

WDLWLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-3	5	2	L
15/08	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
08/08	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-3	4	3	L
01/08	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
26/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	3-1	11	6	W
18/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
11/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	5-3	7	4	W
04/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	11	1	D
20/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Blacktown Spartans

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	6-2	9	0	W
15/08	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
07/08	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	4-0	8	0	W
31/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	6	1	W
25/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	3-0	4	1	W
18/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
12/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-0	7	1	W
04/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	7-2	5	1	W
26/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
20/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	11	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy vs Blacktown Spartans?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Blacktown Spartans win (62%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy 19%, draw 19%, Blacktown Spartans 62%.

How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy vs Blacktown Spartans?

The model expects 4.07 goals (Bulls FC Academy 1.44 · Blacktown Spartans 2.63), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy vs Blacktown Spartans?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.