Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 29/08, 09:00

Prediction: Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Macarthur Rams

Team pages: Canterbury Bankstown FC · Macarthur Rams

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Canterbury Bankstown FC1.74

Macarthur Rams1.52

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Canterbury Bankstown FC Draw Macarthur Rams

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Canterbury Bankstown FC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Macarthur Rams 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWWLL

Head-to-head

Canterbury Bankstown FC 3–1–2 Macarthur Rams (6 last)

Macarthur Rams0-2Canterbury Bankstown FC
Canterbury Bankstown FC0-1Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams2-2Canterbury Bankstown FC
Macarthur Rams1-0Canterbury Bankstown FC
Canterbury Bankstown FC4-0Macarthur Rams
Macarthur Rams0-1Canterbury Bankstown FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1550 · Macarthur Rams 1512

	Canterbury Bankstown FC	Draw	Macarthur Rams
Our model	42%	25%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Canterbury Bankstown FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Canterbury Bankstown FC	Macarthur Rams
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.1	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.7 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:07 +6’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Canterbury Bankstown FC 3–1–2 Macarthur Rams

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	0-2 HT 0-1	Canterbury Bankstown FC
28/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Macarthur Rams
15/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	2-2 HT 0-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC
05/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	1-0 HT 0-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC
28/02/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Macarthur Rams
26/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Macarthur Rams	0-1 HT 0-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	29	21	5	3	77	34	68
2	Northern Tigers	29	16	8	5	52	30	56
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	29	16	5	8	56	43	53
4	Canterbury Bankstown FC	29	14	6	9	68	51	48
5	Macarthur Rams	29	14	6	9	38	33	48
6	Hills United FC	29	13	7	9	54	45	46
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	29	9	11	9	53	51	38
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	29	10	7	12	39	46	37
9	Bulls FC Academy	29	11	4	14	50	48	37
10	Hurstville FC	29	10	5	14	44	51	35
11	Inter Lions	29	10	5	14	38	52	35
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	29	8	7	14	46	59	31
13	Dulwich Hill	29	7	9	13	38	55	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	29	6	11	12	53	64	29
15	Western City Rangers	29	6	6	17	37	59	24
16	Prospect United	29	3	14	12	30	52	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Canterbury Bankstown FC	Macarthur Rams
Bulls FC Academy	3-0 W	1-0 W
Hakoah Sydney City East	4-3 W	1-1 D
Dulwich Hill	3-3 D	2-1 W
Bankstown City Lions FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Blacktown Spartans	1-2 L	0-2 L
Prospect United	2-1 W	2-1 W
Hurstville FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Canterbury Bankstown FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Canterbury Bankstown FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	3-0	9	2	W
15/08	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	4-3	8	2	W
08/08	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
01/08	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-3	6	3	D
25/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
18/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	5	0	W
03/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
27/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	6-0	6	2	W
20/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-1	4	1	W

Macarthur Rams

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-3	3	9	L
15/08	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
01/08	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	6	2	W
25/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	7	8	L
17/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
10/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
04/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Macarthur Rams?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Canterbury Bankstown FC win (43%). Probabilities: Canterbury Bankstown FC 43%, draw 24%, Macarthur Rams 33%.

How many goals are expected in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Macarthur Rams?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Canterbury Bankstown FC 1.74 · Macarthur Rams 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Macarthur Rams?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.