Prediction: Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Blacktown Spartans
Expected goals: 4.2 (Central Coast Mariners U21 1.63 · Blacktown Spartans 2.57). The model gives 23% home, 20% draw, 57% away. Over 3.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-2.
On recent form, Central Coast Mariners U21 is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Blacktown Spartans 5-3-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Central Coast Mariners U21 won 2 and Blacktown Spartans 2, with 2 draws.
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | Draw | Blacktown Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 21% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blacktown Spartans (rating 1460 vs 1543).
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | Blacktown Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.5 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners U21 2–2–2 Blacktown Spartans
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 02/08/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 23/04/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 06/06/21 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 07/04/21 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Blacktown Spartans | 1-5 HT 1-0 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 18/07/20 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Blacktown Spartans | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 56 | 30 | 47 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 39 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 36 | 38 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 38 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 7 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | 31 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 31 | 30 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 40 | 24 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 23 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 45 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Coast Mariners U21 | Blacktown Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Bankstown City Lions FC | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Dulwich Hill | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Macarthur Rams | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Hills United FC | 5-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Western City Rangers | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Hurstville FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Central Coast Mariners U21 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Coast Mariners U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-2 | 5-3 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
Blacktown Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Blacktown Spartans?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blacktown Spartans win (57%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners U21 23%, draw 20%, Blacktown Spartans 57%.
How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Blacktown Spartans?
The model expects 4.2 goals (Central Coast Mariners U21 1.63 · Blacktown Spartans 2.57), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Blacktown Spartans?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.