Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 18/07, 10:00
Prediction: Western City Rangers vs Newcastle Jets NPL
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.89Total
Western City Rangers1.97
Newcastle Jets NPL1.92
1X2
Western City Rangers
Draw
Newcastle Jets NPL
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Western City Rangers
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Newcastle Jets NPL
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Western City Rangers
0–1
Newcastle Jets NPL
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Western City Rangers 1435 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1444
| Western City Rangers | Draw | Newcastle Jets NPL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 38% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.89 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Western City Rangers | Newcastle Jets NPL | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 1.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Western City Rangers 0–0–1 Newcastle Jets NPL
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 4-3 HT 2-3 | Western City Rangers |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 43 |
| 3 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Hills United FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 34 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 52 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 23 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Western City Rangers | Newcastle Jets NPL |
|---|---|---|
| Bulls FC Academy | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Bankstown City Lions FC | 2-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Inter Lions | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Hurstville FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1-1 D | 5-6 L |
| Blacktown Spartans | 1-4 L | 2-7 L |
| Macarthur Rams | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Northern Tigers | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Western City Rangers (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Western City Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Newcastle Jets NPL
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Western City Rangers vs Newcastle Jets NPL?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Western City Rangers win (39%). Probabilities: Western City Rangers 39%, draw 23%, Newcastle Jets NPL 38%.
How many goals are expected in Western City Rangers vs Newcastle Jets NPL?
The model expects 3.89 goals (Western City Rangers 1.97 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1.92), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Western City Rangers vs Newcastle Jets NPL?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.