Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 18/07, 09:00
Prediction: Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Blacktown Spartans
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.96Total
Canterbury Bankstown FC1.85
Blacktown Spartans2.1
1X2
Canterbury Bankstown FC
Draw
Blacktown Spartans
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Canterbury Bankstown FC
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Blacktown Spartans
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Canterbury Bankstown FC
1–1–4
Blacktown Spartans
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1578 · Blacktown Spartans 1567
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | Draw | Blacktown Spartans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 22% | 44% |
| Market | 33% | 24% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Blacktown Spartans: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Canterbury Bankstown FC | Blacktown Spartans | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.5 | 2.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.1 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1–1–4 Blacktown Spartans
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
| 20/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
| 08/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 21/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
| 16/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 01/07/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Canterbury Bankstown FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 58 | 30 | 50 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 21 | 43 |
| 3 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 37 | 41 |
| 4 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 39 |
| 6 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 33 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Hills United FC | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 33 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 44 | 34 | 33 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 40 | 38 | 30 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 39 | 45 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 38 | 27 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 42 | 25 |
| 13 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 52 | 23 |
| 14 | Dulwich Hill | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 44 | 23 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 23 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 22 | 41 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 26 | 46 | 16 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Canterbury Bankstown FC | Blacktown Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Hurstville FC | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | 6-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 6-5 W | 7-2 W |
| Western City Rangers | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Bulls FC Academy | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Canterbury Bankstown FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 03/07 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
3-2 | 6-5 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Blacktown Spartans
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Blacktown Spartans?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blacktown Spartans win (43%). Probabilities: Canterbury Bankstown FC 34%, draw 23%, Blacktown Spartans 43%.
How many goals are expected in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Blacktown Spartans?
The model expects 3.96 goals (Canterbury Bankstown FC 1.85 · Blacktown Spartans 2.1), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Canterbury Bankstown FC vs Blacktown Spartans?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.