Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Hills United FC vs Hakoah Sydney City East

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.69Total

Hills United FC1.96

Hakoah Sydney City East1.72

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Hills United FC Draw Hakoah Sydney City East

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hills United FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWDWDLLD

Hakoah Sydney City East 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLWLWDWDDD

Head-to-head

Hills United FC 3–1–2 Hakoah Sydney City East (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hills United FC 1510 · Hakoah Sydney City East 1506

	Hills United FC	Draw	Hakoah Sydney City East
Our model	43%	23%	34%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hills United FC: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hills United FC	Hakoah Sydney City East
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.1	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hills United FC 3–1–2 Hakoah Sydney City East

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hakoah Sydney City East	2-0 HT 2-0	Hills United FC
26/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	5-0 HT 2-0	Hakoah Sydney City East
13/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hakoah Sydney City East	3-3 HT 1-2	Hills United FC
19/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hakoah Sydney City East	0-2 HT 0-1	Hills United FC
06/05/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hills United FC	3-2 HT 3-1	Hakoah Sydney City East
09/07/22 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hakoah Sydney City East	2-1 HT 1-1	Hills United FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	23	15	5	3	58	30	50
2	Northern Tigers	23	12	7	4	41	21	43
3	Canterbury Bankstown FC	23	12	5	6	56	37	41
4	Bankstown City Lions FC	23	12	4	7	40	37	40
5	Macarthur Rams	23	11	6	6	30	24	39
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	23	9	7	7	33	34	34
7	Hills United FC	23	9	6	8	40	38	33
8	Bulls FC Academy	23	10	3	10	44	34	33
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	23	7	9	7	40	38	30
10	Central Coast Mariners U21	23	7	6	10	39	45	27
11	Hurstville FC	23	7	6	10	34	38	27
12	Inter Lions	23	7	4	12	29	42	25
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	23	5	8	10	43	52	23
14	Dulwich Hill	23	5	8	10	26	44	23
15	Prospect United	23	2	12	9	22	41	18
16	Western City Rangers	23	4	4	15	26	46	16

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hills United FC	Hakoah Sydney City East
Inter Lions	2-2 D	1-3 L
Northern Tigers	1-2 L	1-0 W
Hurstville FC	1-2 L	1-1 D
Prospect United	0-0 D	1-1 D
Macarthur Rams	3-2 W	1-1 D
Dulwich Hill	6-0 W	4-2 W
Blacktown Spartans	1-1 D	2-1 W
Central Coast Mariners U21	3-5 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hakoah Sydney City East (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Hills United FC

WLDWDWDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	7	3	L
27/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
20/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
13/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	5	1	D
30/05	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	3-0	6-0	5	0	W
23/05	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
17/05	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	3-5	8	5	L
09/05	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	10	7	W

Hakoah Sydney City East

LLWLWDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
03/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
27/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
30/05	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	5	6	L
23/05	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	4-2	6	6	W
16/05	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	12	10	L
13/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-5	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hills United FC vs Hakoah Sydney City East?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hills United FC win (43%). Probabilities: Hills United FC 43%, draw 24%, Hakoah Sydney City East 33%.

How many goals are expected in Hills United FC vs Hakoah Sydney City East?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Hills United FC 1.96 · Hakoah Sydney City East 1.72), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hills United FC vs Hakoah Sydney City East?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.