Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 22/08, 09:00

Prediction: Bankstown City Lions FC vs Prospect United

Team pages: Bankstown City Lions FC · Prospect United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Bankstown City Lions FC1.87

Prospect United0.86

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Bankstown City Lions FC Draw Prospect United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bankstown City Lions FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Prospect United 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Bankstown City Lions FC 1–0 Prospect United (1 last)

Prospect United0-1Bankstown City Lions FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bankstown City Lions FC 1551 · Prospect United 1474

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Draw	Prospect United
Our model	60%	24%	16%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bankstown City Lions FC (rating 1551 vs 1474).
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Prospect United
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	1.4 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +13’	1.44	4.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bankstown City Lions FC 1–0–0 Prospect United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Prospect United	0-1 HT 0-1	Bankstown City Lions FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	28	20	5	3	71	32	65
2	Northern Tigers	28	15	8	5	49	28	53
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	28	15	5	8	51	42	50
4	Macarthur Rams	28	14	6	8	36	30	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	28	13	6	9	65	51	45
6	Hills United FC	28	12	7	9	51	44	43
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	28	10	9	9	57	46	39
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	28	10	8	10	39	41	38
9	Bulls FC Academy	28	11	4	13	50	45	37
10	Hurstville FC	28	9	6	13	40	46	33
11	Inter Lions	28	9	5	14	36	52	32
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	28	8	7	13	44	55	31
13	Dulwich Hill	28	7	9	12	38	53	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	28	6	10	12	50	61	28
15	Prospect United	28	3	14	11	29	47	23
16	Western City Rangers	28	5	5	18	31	64	20

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bankstown City Lions FC	Prospect United
Inter Lions	0-2 L	1-1 D
Hills United FC	2-2 D	0-0 D
Canterbury Bankstown FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Bulls FC Academy	5-0 W	1-1 D
Macarthur Rams	1-1 D	1-2 L
Dulwich Hill	2-2 D	0-0 D
Western City Rangers	3-2 W	1-1 D
Blacktown Spartans	1-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	0 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bankstown City Lions FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bankstown City Lions FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
08/08	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-0	9	3	W
01/08	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-2	2	3	D
25/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
18/07	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
10/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
04/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
27/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
20/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-4	4	1	L

Prospect United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
07/08	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
25/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
20/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
14/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Prospect United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bankstown City Lions FC win (61%). Probabilities: Bankstown City Lions FC 61%, draw 22%, Prospect United 17%.

How many goals are expected in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Prospect United?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Bankstown City Lions FC 1.87 · Prospect United 0.86), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Prospect United?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.