Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: Bankstown City Lions FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Bankstown City Lions FC2.17

Canterbury Bankstown FC1.62

1X2

49% 23% 28%

Bankstown City Lions FC Draw Canterbury Bankstown FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bankstown City Lions FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Canterbury Bankstown FC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Bankstown City Lions FC 1–2–3 Canterbury Bankstown FC (6 last)

Canterbury Bankstown FC2-1Bankstown City Lions FC
Bankstown City Lions FC1-1Canterbury Bankstown FC
Canterbury Bankstown FC2-0Bankstown City Lions FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bankstown City Lions FC 1523 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1588

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Draw	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Our model	50%	22%	28%
Market	49%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Canterbury Bankstown FC (rating 1523 vs 1588).
H2H favours Canterbury Bankstown FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bankstown City Lions FC	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	3.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.8	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	3.4 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.80

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 4.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
05:02 +7’	1.83	3.80	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bankstown City Lions FC 1–2–3 Canterbury Bankstown FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	2-1 HT 2-0	Bankstown City Lions FC
19/07/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bankstown City Lions FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC
05/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	2-0 HT 0-0	Bankstown City Lions FC
20/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Bankstown City Lions FC
12/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bankstown City Lions FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Canterbury Bankstown FC
19/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1	Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Bankstown City Lions FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	24	16	5	3	60	31	53
2	Northern Tigers	24	13	7	4	43	22	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	24	13	4	7	45	37	43
4	Macarthur Rams	24	12	6	6	32	25	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	24	12	5	7	57	39	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	24	10	7	7	37	34	37
7	Hills United FC	24	10	6	8	42	39	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	24	10	3	11	44	39	33
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	24	7	9	8	41	40	30
10	Hurstville FC	24	8	6	10	37	39	30
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	24	7	6	11	40	47	27
12	Inter Lions	24	7	4	13	29	46	25
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	24	5	8	11	45	55	23
14	Dulwich Hill	24	5	8	11	27	47	23
15	Western City Rangers	24	5	4	15	29	48	19
16	Prospect United	24	2	12	10	23	43	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bankstown City Lions FC	Canterbury Bankstown FC
Macarthur Rams	1-1 D	2-0 W
Western City Rangers	3-2 W	1-1 D
Central Coast Mariners U21	2-1 W	6-0 W
Blacktown Spartans	1-4 L	1-2 L
Northern Tigers	1-1 D	2-1 W
Rydalmere Lions FC	2-2 D	5-1 W
Newcastle Jets NPL	1-3 L	6-5 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Canterbury Bankstown FC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bankstown City Lions FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
10/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
04/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	6	2	D
27/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
20/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-4	4	1	L
06/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
30/05	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
23/05	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	8	5	D
15/05	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-3	10	5	L

Canterbury Bankstown FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
11/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	5	0	W
03/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
27/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	6-0	6	2	W
20/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	5-1	4	1	W
13/06	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	3-2	6-5	8	1	W
06/06	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
30/05	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	4-2	3	4	W
23/05	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	14	2	W
16/05	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bankstown City Lions FC win (49%). Probabilities: Bankstown City Lions FC 49%, draw 23%, Canterbury Bankstown FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Bankstown City Lions FC 2.17 · Canterbury Bankstown FC 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Bankstown City Lions FC vs Canterbury Bankstown FC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.