Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 22/08, 08:30

Prediction: Hakoah Sydney City East vs Newcastle Jets NPL

Team pages: Hakoah Sydney City East · Newcastle Jets NPL

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

Hakoah Sydney City East2.3

Newcastle Jets NPL1.87

1X2

47% 22% 31%

Hakoah Sydney City East Draw Newcastle Jets NPL

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hakoah Sydney City East 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDDLWWWL

Newcastle Jets NPL 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLWDDL

Head-to-head

Hakoah Sydney City East 1–2–0 Newcastle Jets NPL (3 last)

Newcastle Jets NPL3-5Hakoah Sydney City East
Hakoah Sydney City East2-2Newcastle Jets NPL
Newcastle Jets NPL1-1Hakoah Sydney City East

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hakoah Sydney City East 1545 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1426

	Hakoah Sydney City East	Draw	Newcastle Jets NPL
Our model	47%	21%	31%
Market	47%	22%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hakoah Sydney City East (rating 1545 vs 1426).
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hakoah Sydney City East	Newcastle Jets NPL
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.3	1.7 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4	1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X4.00

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.88

Under 3.51.93

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
07:42 +13’	1.91	4.00	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hakoah Sydney City East 1–2–0 Newcastle Jets NPL

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Newcastle Jets NPL	3-5 HT 2-3	Hakoah Sydney City East
02/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hakoah Sydney City East	2-2 HT 1-1	Newcastle Jets NPL
19/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Newcastle Jets NPL	1-1 HT 0-1	Hakoah Sydney City East

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	28	20	5	3	71	32	65
2	Northern Tigers	28	15	8	5	49	28	53
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	28	15	5	8	51	42	50
4	Macarthur Rams	28	14	6	8	36	30	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	28	13	6	9	65	51	45
6	Hills United FC	28	12	7	9	51	44	43
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	28	10	9	9	57	46	39
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	28	10	8	10	39	41	38
9	Bulls FC Academy	28	11	4	13	50	45	37
10	Hurstville FC	28	9	6	13	40	46	33
11	Inter Lions	28	9	5	14	36	52	32
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	28	8	7	13	44	55	31
13	Dulwich Hill	28	7	9	12	38	53	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	28	6	10	12	50	61	28
15	Prospect United	28	3	14	11	29	47	23
16	Western City Rangers	28	5	5	18	31	64	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hakoah Sydney City East	Newcastle Jets NPL
Canterbury Bankstown FC	3-4 L	5-6 L
Western City Rangers	9-0 W	2-3 L
Rydalmere Lions FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hills United FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
Macarthur Rams	1-1 D	0-1 L
Northern Tigers	1-0 W	2-2 D
Central Coast Mariners U21	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hakoah Sydney City East (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hakoah Sydney City East

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	3-4	3	2	L
08/08	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	3-2	7	3	W
01/08	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	5-0	9-0	–	–	W
25/07	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	1	4	W
18/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
11/07	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
03/07	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
27/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
20/06	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
12/06	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

Newcastle Jets NPL

LLLLDLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
25/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
18/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-3	4	5	L
11/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-7	–	–	L
27/06	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	0	1	L
20/06	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-3	5-6	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hakoah Sydney City East vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hakoah Sydney City East win (47%). Probabilities: Hakoah Sydney City East 47%, draw 22%, Newcastle Jets NPL 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hakoah Sydney City East vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

The model expects 4.16 goals (Hakoah Sydney City East 2.3 · Newcastle Jets NPL 1.87), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hakoah Sydney City East vs Newcastle Jets NPL?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.