Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 23/08, 07:00
Prediction: Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Western City Rangers
Team pages: Central Coast Mariners U21 · Western City Rangers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Central Coast Mariners U211.81
Western City Rangers1.58
1X2
Central Coast Mariners U21
Draw
Western City Rangers
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Central Coast Mariners U21
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Western City Rangers
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Coast Mariners U21
3–1–2
Western City Rangers
(6 last)
- Western City Rangers0-4Central Coast Mariners U21
- Central Coast Mariners U212-0Western City Rangers
- Western City Rangers1-1Central Coast Mariners U21
- Western City Rangers1-2Central Coast Mariners U21
- Central Coast Mariners U211-4Western City Rangers
- Central Coast Mariners U211-4Western City Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Coast Mariners U21 1431 · Western City Rangers 1427
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | Draw | Western City Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 43% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Central Coast Mariners U21: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | Western City Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.4 | 1.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.2 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners U21 3–1–2 Western City Rangers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Western City Rangers | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 29/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Western City Rangers |
| 15/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Western City Rangers | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 01/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Western City Rangers | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Central Coast Mariners U21 |
| 19/03/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 1-4 HT 1-1 | Western City Rangers |
| 04/08/18 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Western City Rangers |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 28 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 71 | 32 | 65 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 53 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 51 | 42 | 50 |
| 4 | Macarthur Rams | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 48 |
| 5 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 65 | 51 | 45 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 51 | 44 | 43 |
| 7 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 39 |
| 8 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 41 | 38 |
| 9 | Bulls FC Academy | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 45 | 37 |
| 10 | Hurstville FC | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 46 | 33 |
| 11 | Inter Lions | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 52 | 32 |
| 12 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 44 | 55 | 31 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 38 | 53 | 30 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 50 | 61 | 28 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 28 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 29 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 64 | 20 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Coast Mariners U21 | Western City Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Hurstville FC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Inter Lions | 1-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Bulls FC Academy | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Bankstown City Lions FC | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 2-2 D | 0-9 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Western City Rangers (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Coast Mariners U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 02/08 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 12/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Western City Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-5 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 20/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Western City Rangers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Coast Mariners U21 win (43%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners U21 43%, draw 24%, Western City Rangers 33%.
How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Western City Rangers?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Central Coast Mariners U21 1.81 · Western City Rangers 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Western City Rangers?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.