Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 28/08, 12:00

Prediction: Prospect United vs Hurstville FC

Team pages: Prospect United · Hurstville FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Prospect United1.75

Hurstville FC1.29

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Prospect United Draw Hurstville FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Prospect United 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDLDWL

Hurstville FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLDWWLLLL

Head-to-head

Prospect United 0–5 Hurstville FC (5 last)

Hurstville FC2-1Prospect United
Hurstville FC2-0Prospect United
Prospect United1-2Hurstville FC
Hurstville FC3-1Prospect United
Prospect United0-4Hurstville FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Prospect United 1462 · Hurstville FC 1467

	Prospect United	Draw	Hurstville FC
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	49%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hurstville FC: 5-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Prospect United	Hurstville FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.5	1.3 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 2.9	1.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.90

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 10:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 1.83▼	Bet365 1.83
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	2.50 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +7’	2.25	3.75	2.50
08:04 +3’	1.85▼	3.90▲	3.10▲
10:04 +4’	1.83▼	3.90	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Prospect United 0–0–5 Hurstville FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Hurstville FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Prospect United
27/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hurstville FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Prospect United
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Prospect United	1-2 HT 1-0	Hurstville FC
13/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hurstville FC	3-1 HT 1-0	Prospect United
06/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Prospect United	0-4 HT 0-1	Hurstville FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	29	21	5	3	77	34	68
2	Northern Tigers	29	16	8	5	52	30	56
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	29	16	5	8	56	43	53
4	Canterbury Bankstown FC	29	14	6	9	68	51	48
5	Macarthur Rams	29	14	6	9	38	33	48
6	Hills United FC	29	13	7	9	54	45	46
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	29	9	11	9	53	51	38
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	29	10	7	12	39	46	37
9	Bulls FC Academy	29	11	4	14	50	48	37
10	Hurstville FC	29	10	5	14	44	51	35
11	Inter Lions	29	10	5	14	38	52	35
12	Central Coast Mariners U21	29	8	7	14	46	59	31
13	Dulwich Hill	29	7	9	13	38	55	30
14	Newcastle Jets NPL	29	6	11	12	53	64	29
15	Western City Rangers	29	6	6	17	37	59	24
16	Prospect United	29	3	14	12	30	52	23

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Prospect United	Hurstville FC
Bankstown City Lions FC	1-5 L	0-2 L
Blacktown Spartans	1-2 L	2-6 L
Macarthur Rams	1-2 L	2-1 W
Canterbury Bankstown FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Hakoah Sydney City East	1-1 D	1-1 D
Bulls FC Academy	1-1 D	1-4 L
Hills United FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hurstville FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Prospect United

DDDLLDLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-3	1-5	4	2	L
15/08	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
07/08	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
31/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	4	1	L
25/07	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
17/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
11/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-2	1	0	L
03/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	1	1	D
20/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-0	3	3	D

Hurstville FC

LWLDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-6	2	0	L
16/08	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
08/08	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
01/08	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	1-3	9	2	L
25/07	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	2-1	6	8	W
17/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
11/07	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	10	3	D
03/07	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
27/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	2	4	W
20/06	Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Prospect United vs Hurstville FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Prospect United win (48%). Probabilities: Prospect United 48%, draw 24%, Hurstville FC 28%.

How many goals are expected in Prospect United vs Hurstville FC?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Prospect United 1.75 · Hurstville FC 1.29), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Prospect United vs Hurstville FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.