Prediction: Inter Lions vs Hills United FC

Expected goals: 3.1 (Inter Lions 1.5 · Hills United FC 1.59). The model gives 36% home, 25% draw, 40% away. Under 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Inter Lions is 7-0-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hills United FC 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Inter Lions won 1 and Hills United FC 3, with 2 draws.

40%2
36% 25% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Inter Lions 1544 · Hills United FC 1514
Inter LionsDrawHills United FC
Our model35%26%39%
Market36%24%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.1Inter Lions 1.5 · Hills United FC 1.59
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hills United FC: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Inter LionsHills United FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.22.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.31.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.43.4 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 0.13.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Lions 123 Hills United FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia New South Wales League 1
Hills United FC0-0
HT 0-0
Inter Lions
28/06/25
Australia New South Wales League 1
Inter Lions0-1
HT 0-0
Hills United FC
15/03/25
Australia New South Wales League 1
Hills United FC2-0
HT 0-0
Inter Lions
03/06/23
Australia New South Wales League 1
Hills United FC1-0
HT 1-0
Inter Lions
28/02/23
Australia New South Wales League 1
Inter Lions2-1
HT 1-1
Hills United FC
18/02/23
Australia New South Wales League 1
Inter Lions1-1Hills United FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blacktown Spartans 221453 563047
2 Northern Tigers 221264 391942
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 221237 393639
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 221156 543638
5 Macarthur Rams 221156 292338
6 Hills United FC 22958 383632
7 Rydalmere Lions FC 22877 323431
8 Bulls FC Academy 229310 393130
9 Hakoah Sydney City East 22787 393729
10 Central Coast Mariners U21 22769 394327
11 Hurstville FC 227510 333726
12 Inter Lions 227312 274024
13 Dulwich Hill 22589 233923
14 Newcastle Jets NPL 225710 415022
15 Prospect United 222128 213918
16 Western City Rangers 224414 264516

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentInter LionsHills United FC
Macarthur Rams 2-3 L 3-2 W
Western City Rangers 1-0 W 2-1 W
Northern Tigers 0-1 L 1-2 L
Hurstville FC 2-1 W 1-2 L
Bulls FC Academy 2-1 W 2-2 D
Dulwich Hill 2-0 W 6-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Inter Lions

WWWWLWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Macarthur Rams
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-1 2-3 34 L
27/06 Newcastle Jets NPL
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 2-1 71 W
20/06 Western City Rangers
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 1-0 53 W
13/06 Northern Tigers
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 0-1 35 L
06/06 Hurstville FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 2-1 14 W
30/05 Canterbury Bankstown FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-1 2-4 34 L
23/05 Bulls FC Academy
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 2-1 22 W
16/05 Hakoah Sydney City East
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 3-1 510 W
09/05 Dulwich Hill
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 2-0 21 W
02/05 Bankstown City Lions FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 3-0 W

Hills United FC

WWLDWDWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Northern Tigers
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 1-2 73 L
27/06 Hurstville FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 1-2 14 L
20/06 Prospect United
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 0-0 83 D
13/06 Macarthur Rams
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-0 3-2 W
05/06 Bulls FC Academy
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-2 2-2 51 D
30/05 Dulwich Hill
Australia New South Wales League 1
3-0 6-0 50 W
23/05 Blacktown Spartans
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-1 1-1 74 D
17/05 Central Coast Mariners U21
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-2 3-5 85 L
09/05 Rydalmere Lions FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-1 2-1 107 W
02/05 Western City Rangers
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 2-1 52 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Inter Lions vs Hills United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Hills United FC win (40%). Probabilities: Inter Lions 36%, draw 25%, Hills United FC 40%.

How many goals are expected in Inter Lions vs Hills United FC?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Inter Lions 1.5 · Hills United FC 1.59), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Inter Lions vs Hills United FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.