Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 26/07, 07:00

Prediction: Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Bulls FC Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

Central Coast Mariners U211.75

Bulls FC Academy1.99

1X2

33% 24% 43%

Central Coast Mariners U21 Draw Bulls FC Academy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Central Coast Mariners U21 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLLLLL

Bulls FC Academy 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLWDLWL

Head-to-head

Central Coast Mariners U21 2–2–2 Bulls FC Academy (6 last)

Bulls FC Academy2-2Central Coast Mariners U21
Central Coast Mariners U214-0Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy2-1Central Coast Mariners U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Central Coast Mariners U21 1421 · Bulls FC Academy 1472

	Central Coast Mariners U21	Draw	Bulls FC Academy
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	24%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulls FC Academy (rating 1421 vs 1472).
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Central Coast Mariners U21	Bulls FC Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.5	1.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.4	3.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.75

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
06:18 +1’	2.70	3.75	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Coast Mariners U21 2–2–2 Bulls FC Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	2-2 HT 0-0	Central Coast Mariners U21
06/09/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Central Coast Mariners U21	4-0 HT 3-0	Bulls FC Academy
31/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Bulls FC Academy	2-1 HT 1-1	Central Coast Mariners U21
28/05/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Central Coast Mariners U21	4-2 HT 2-2	Bulls FC Academy
11/02/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Bulls FC Academy	1-1 HT 0-1	Central Coast Mariners U21
30/06/19 Australia New South Wales League 2	Central Coast Mariners U21	0-1 HT 0-0	Bulls FC Academy

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	24	16	5	3	60	31	53
2	Northern Tigers	24	13	7	4	43	22	46
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	24	13	4	7	45	37	43
4	Macarthur Rams	24	12	6	6	32	25	42
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	24	12	5	7	57	39	41
6	Rydalmere Lions FC	24	10	7	7	37	34	37
7	Hills United FC	24	10	6	8	42	39	36
8	Bulls FC Academy	24	10	3	11	44	39	33
9	Hakoah Sydney City East	24	7	9	8	41	40	30
10	Hurstville FC	24	8	6	10	37	39	30
11	Central Coast Mariners U21	24	7	6	11	40	47	27
12	Inter Lions	24	7	4	13	29	46	25
13	Newcastle Jets NPL	24	5	8	11	45	55	23
14	Dulwich Hill	24	5	8	11	27	47	23
15	Western City Rangers	24	5	4	15	29	48	19
16	Prospect United	24	2	12	10	23	43	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Central Coast Mariners U21	Bulls FC Academy
Blacktown Spartans	0-2 L	2-3 L
Rydalmere Lions FC	1-2 L	0-1 L
Bankstown City Lions FC	1-2 L	0-5 L
Dulwich Hill	1-1 D	5-3 W
Prospect United	2-4 L	1-1 D
Hills United FC	5-3 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bulls FC Academy (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Central Coast Mariners U21

WLLDDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-2	5	1	L
05/07	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-6	2	2	L
20/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
12/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
06/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
30/05	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/05	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	2-4	–	–	L
17/05	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	5-3	4	5	W

Bulls FC Academy

LLWDLWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
11/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	5-3	7	4	W
04/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	11	1	D
20/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
13/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
05/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	1	1	D
30/05	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	1-0	0	0	W
23/05	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
15/05	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Bulls FC Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bulls FC Academy win (43%). Probabilities: Central Coast Mariners U21 33%, draw 24%, Bulls FC Academy 43%.

How many goals are expected in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Bulls FC Academy?

The model expects 3.74 goals (Central Coast Mariners U21 1.75 · Bulls FC Academy 1.99), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Central Coast Mariners U21 vs Bulls FC Academy?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.