Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 15/08, 09:30

Prediction: Bulls FC Academy vs Northern Tigers

Team pages: Bulls FC Academy · Northern Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Bulls FC Academy1.37

Northern Tigers1.81

1X2

29% 24% 47%

Bulls FC Academy Draw Northern Tigers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Bulls FC Academy 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWLWLL

Northern Tigers 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

Bulls FC Academy 2–1–3 Northern Tigers (6 last)

Northern Tigers1-0Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy1-1Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers2-1Bulls FC Academy
Bulls FC Academy2-1Northern Tigers
Northern Tigers0-2Bulls FC Academy
Northern Tigers2-1Bulls FC Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bulls FC Academy 1466 · Northern Tigers 1552

	Bulls FC Academy	Draw	Northern Tigers
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northern Tigers (rating 1466 vs 1552).
H2H favours Northern Tigers: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bulls FC Academy	Northern Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.3	3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.80

21.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +17’	3.10	3.80	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulls FC Academy 2–1–3 Northern Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	1-0 HT 0-0	Bulls FC Academy
24/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	1-1 HT 0-0	Northern Tigers
08/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	2-1 HT 1-1	Bulls FC Academy
29/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Bulls FC Academy	2-1 HT 1-1	Northern Tigers
23/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 1	Northern Tigers	0-2 HT 0-1	Bulls FC Academy
03/08/19 Australia New South Wales League 2	Northern Tigers	2-1 HT 1-0	Bulls FC Academy

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Blacktown Spartans	27	19	5	3	69	32	62
2	Northern Tigers	27	15	7	5	48	27	52
3	Bankstown City Lions FC	27	15	5	7	51	40	50
4	Macarthur Rams	27	14	6	7	36	28	48
5	Canterbury Bankstown FC	27	12	6	9	61	48	42
6	Hills United FC	27	11	7	9	49	43	40
7	Hakoah Sydney City East	27	10	9	8	54	42	39
8	Rydalmere Lions FC	27	10	8	9	39	38	38
9	Bulls FC Academy	27	11	3	13	49	44	36
10	Hurstville FC	27	9	6	12	40	45	33
11	Inter Lions	27	8	5	14	34	52	29
12	Newcastle Jets NPL	27	6	10	11	49	58	28
13	Central Coast Mariners U21	27	7	7	13	43	55	28
14	Dulwich Hill	27	6	9	12	35	52	27
15	Prospect United	27	2	14	11	26	47	20
16	Western City Rangers	27	5	5	17	30	62	20

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bulls FC Academy	Northern Tigers
Hakoah Sydney City East	2-3 L	0-1 L
Central Coast Mariners U21	3-1 W	2-1 W
Bankstown City Lions FC	0-5 L	1-1 D
Dulwich Hill	5-3 W	3-1 W
Hurstville FC	4-1 W	3-1 W
Rydalmere Lions FC	0-1 L	2-1 W
Hills United FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Northern Tigers (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bulls FC Academy

DLWDLWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-3	4	3	L
01/08	Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
26/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	3-1	11	6	W
18/07	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-2	0-5	6	3	L
11/07	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	5-3	7	4	W
04/07	Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/06	Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	1-1	11	1	D
20/06	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
13/06	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
05/06	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-2	2-2	1	1	D

Northern Tigers

DWLWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
01/08	Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
25/07	Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1	0-3	0-3	7	1	L
19/07	Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
11/07	Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1	1-2	2-2	8	5	D
04/07	Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
27/06	Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1	2-0	3-1	8	1	W
20/06	Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
13/06	Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
06/06	Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bulls FC Academy vs Northern Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Northern Tigers win (47%). Probabilities: Bulls FC Academy 29%, draw 24%, Northern Tigers 47%.

How many goals are expected in Bulls FC Academy vs Northern Tigers?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Bulls FC Academy 1.37 · Northern Tigers 1.81), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bulls FC Academy vs Northern Tigers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.