Prediction: Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC
Expected goals: 2.79 (Macarthur Rams 1.28 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1.5). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Macarthur Rams is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bankstown City Lions FC 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Macarthur Rams and 5 for Bankstown City Lions FC.
| Macarthur Rams | Draw | Bankstown City Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Bankstown City Lions FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur Rams | Bankstown City Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams 1–0–5 Bankstown City Lions FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams |
| 31/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Macarthur Rams | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Bankstown City Lions FC |
| 15/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams |
| 24/08/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Macarthur Rams |
| 18/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Macarthur Rams | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Bankstown City Lions FC |
| 15/07/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Macarthur Rams |
Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 56 | 30 | 47 |
| 2 | Northern Tigers | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 19 | 42 |
| 3 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 39 |
| 4 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 36 | 38 |
| 5 | Macarthur Rams | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 38 |
| 6 | Hills United FC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 32 |
| 7 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | 31 |
| 8 | Bulls FC Academy | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 31 | 30 |
| 9 | Hakoah Sydney City East | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 29 |
| 10 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 43 | 27 |
| 11 | Hurstville FC | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 26 |
| 12 | Inter Lions | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 40 | 24 |
| 13 | Dulwich Hill | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 23 |
| 14 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 50 | 22 |
| 15 | Prospect United | 22 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 39 | 18 |
| 16 | Western City Rangers | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 45 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macarthur Rams | Bankstown City Lions FC |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Lions | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Hakoah Sydney City East | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Newcastle Jets NPL | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Central Coast Mariners U21 | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Western City Rangers | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Northern Tigers | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Blacktown Spartans | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macarthur Rams
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 01/05 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Bankstown City Lions FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/06 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Bankstown City Lions FC win (42%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams 32%, draw 26%, Bankstown City Lions FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Macarthur Rams 1.28 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

