Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 10/07, 12:00

Prediction: Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC

Expected goals: 2.79 (Macarthur Rams 1.28 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1.5). The model gives 32% home, 26% draw, 42% away. Over 2.75 goals (50%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Macarthur Rams is 6-2-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Bankstown City Lions FC 4-3-3 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Macarthur Rams and 5 for Bankstown City Lions FC.

42%2
32% 26% 42%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams 1537 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1513
Macarthur RamsDrawBankstown City Lions FC
Our model31%28%41%
Market33%25%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.79Macarthur Rams 1.28 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1.5
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 50%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Bankstown City Lions FC: 5-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Macarthur RamsBankstown City Lions FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 11.5 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.60.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.42.1 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.24 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams 105 Bankstown City Lions FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia New South Wales League 1
Bankstown City Lions FC1-0
HT 0-0
Macarthur Rams
31/05/25
Australia New South Wales League 1
Macarthur Rams3-0
HT 1-0
Bankstown City Lions FC
15/02/25
Australia New South Wales League 1
Bankstown City Lions FC1-0
HT 0-0
Macarthur Rams
24/08/24
Australia New South Wales League 1
Bankstown City Lions FC4-0
HT 1-0
Macarthur Rams
18/05/24
Australia New South Wales League 1
Macarthur Rams0-2
HT 0-0
Bankstown City Lions FC
15/07/23
Australia New South Wales League 1
Bankstown City Lions FC4-0
HT 2-0
Macarthur Rams

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Blacktown Spartans 221453 563047
2 Northern Tigers 221264 391942
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 221237 393639
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 221156 543638
5 Macarthur Rams 221156 292338
6 Hills United FC 22958 383632
7 Rydalmere Lions FC 22877 323431
8 Bulls FC Academy 229310 393130
9 Hakoah Sydney City East 22787 393729
10 Central Coast Mariners U21 22769 394327
11 Hurstville FC 227510 333726
12 Inter Lions 227312 274024
13 Dulwich Hill 22589 233923
14 Newcastle Jets NPL 225710 415022
15 Prospect United 222128 213918
16 Western City Rangers 224414 264516

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMacarthur RamsBankstown City Lions FC
Inter Lions 3-2 W 0-3 L
Hakoah Sydney City East 1-1 D 2-1 W
Newcastle Jets NPL 1-0 W 1-3 L
Rydalmere Lions FC 1-0 W 2-2 D
Central Coast Mariners U21 1-0 W 2-1 W
Western City Rangers 2-0 W 3-2 W
Northern Tigers 2-2 D 1-1 D
Blacktown Spartans 1-0 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Macarthur Rams (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macarthur Rams

WDLWWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Inter Lions
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-2 3-2 44 W
27/06 Hakoah Sydney City East
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-1 1-1 D
20/06 Newcastle Jets NPL
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 1-0 W
13/06 Hills United FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-2 2-3 L
06/06 Rydalmere Lions FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 1-0 37 W
30/05 Central Coast Mariners U21
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 1-0 W
23/05 Western City Rangers
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 2-0 65 W
16/05 Canterbury Bankstown FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 0-2 66 L
09/05 Northern Tigers
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 2-2 D
01/05 Blacktown Spartans
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-0 1-0 38 W

Bankstown City Lions FC

LWLDWDLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Dulwich Hill
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-1 2-2 62 D
27/06 Western City Rangers
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-0 3-2 W
20/06 Central Coast Mariners U21
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 2-1 W
12/06 Blacktown Spartans
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 1-4 41 L
06/06 Northern Tigers
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-1 1-1 44 D
30/05 Hakoah Sydney City East
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-1 2-1 36 W
23/05 Rydalmere Lions FC
Australia New South Wales League 1
2-2 2-2 85 D
15/05 Newcastle Jets NPL
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 1-3 105 L
08/05 Prospect United
Australia New South Wales League 1
1-0 1-0 35 W
02/05 Inter Lions
Australia New South Wales League 1
0-1 0-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Bankstown City Lions FC win (42%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams 32%, draw 26%, Bankstown City Lions FC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Macarthur Rams 1.28 · Bankstown City Lions FC 1.5), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams vs Bankstown City Lions FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.