Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 15/08, 01:00
Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena
Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion · La Serena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Universidad de Concepcion1.43
La Serena1.42
1X2
Universidad de Concepcion
Draw
La Serena
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
La Serena
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion
2–1–3
La Serena
(6 last)
- La Serena1-1Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion0-1La Serena
- La Serena1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion2-0La Serena
- La Serena1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- La Serena1-2Universidad de Concepcion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Serena (rating 1420 vs 1473).
- H2H favours La Serena: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.6 | 4.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion 2–1–3 La Serena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 20/08/24 Chile Primera B | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | La Serena |
| 06/04/24 Chile Primera B | La Serena | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 12/08/23 Chile Primera B | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | La Serena |
| 27/03/23 Chile Primera B | La Serena | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 25/06/22 Chile Cup | La Serena | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 8 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 25 | 23 |
| 10 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Concepcion | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | 20 |
| 12 | La Serena | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 20 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| Audax Italiano | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Universidad Catolica | 1-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: La Serena (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 01/07 | Nublense Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 26/06 | Nublense Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Concepcion win (37%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion 37%, draw 27%, La Serena 36%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Universidad de Concepcion 1.43 · La Serena 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs La Serena?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.