Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 29/08, 00:30
Prediction: Cobresal vs Palestino
Team pages: Cobresal · Palestino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Cobresal1.49
Palestino1.4
1X2
Cobresal
Draw
Palestino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cobresal
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Palestino
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cobresal
2–4
Palestino
(6 last)
- Palestino4-2Cobresal
- Cobresal2-1Palestino
- Palestino2-1Cobresal
- Palestino3-0Cobresal
- Cobresal0-2Palestino
- Cobresal2-1Palestino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobresal 1423 · Palestino 1547
| Cobresal | Draw | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palestino (rating 1423 vs 1547).
- H2H favours Palestino: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobresal | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 2–0–4 Palestino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Cobresal |
| 07/09/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Palestino |
| 15/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 25/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Cobresal |
| 30/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 01/10/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Palestino |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | Palestino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobresal | Palestino |
|---|---|---|
| La Serena | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Union La Calera | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Huachipato | 3-3 D | 5-1 W |
| Colo Colo | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Nublense | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Audax Italiano | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Everton de Vina | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Palestino (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cobresal vs Palestino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobresal win (38%). Probabilities: Cobresal 38%, draw 27%, Palestino 34%.
How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Palestino?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Cobresal 1.49 · Palestino 1.4), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Palestino?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.