Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 07/09, 18:00

Prediction: Klubi-04 vs KaPa

Team pages: Klubi-04 · KaPa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Klubi-041.97

KaPa1.21

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Klubi-04 Draw KaPa

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Klubi-04 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLLDWW

KaPa 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Klubi-04 3–1–2 KaPa (6 last)

KaPa0-2Klubi-04
Klubi-041-2KaPa
Klubi-040-1KaPa
Klubi-041-1KaPa
KaPa0-5Klubi-04
Klubi-044-1KaPa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Klubi-04 (rating 1493 vs 1433).
H2H favours Klubi-04: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Klubi-04	KaPa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.4	2.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.5	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:52

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.92▼	Pinn 1.92
X	3.66 → 3.73▲	Pinn 3.73
2	3.39 → 3.59▲	Pinn 3.59

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:48	2.00	3.66	3.39
09:51	1.92▼	3.73▲	3.59▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Klubi-04 3–1–2 KaPa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	0-2 HT 0-2	Klubi-04
06/04/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	Klubi-04	1-2 HT 0-2	KaPa
23/08/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	Klubi-04	0-1 HT 0-0	KaPa
28/07/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	Klubi-04	1-1 HT 0-0	KaPa
01/06/25 Finland Ykkosliiga	KaPa	0-5 HT 0-2	Klubi-04
08/03/25 Finland Ykkoscup	Klubi-04	4-1 HT 2-1	KaPa

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	21	15	3	3	36	21	48
2	PK-35	21	13	5	3	37	14	44
3	FC Haka	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
4	Jippo	21	10	7	4	29	17	37
5	JaPS	21	9	2	10	18	29	29
6	Ekenäs IF	21	8	2	11	26	33	26
7	MP	21	6	3	12	22	33	21
8	Klubi-04	21	4	7	10	25	29	19
9	KaPa	21	4	5	12	21	35	17
10	SJK II	21	2	6	13	11	33	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Klubi-04	KaPa
SJK II	6-2 W	2-2 D
MP	4-3 W	1-2 L
PK-35	1-1 D	1-3 L
KTP	0-1 L	1-2 L
Ekenäs IF	0-2 L	0-1 L
JaPS	0-2 L	0-0 D
FC Haka	2-2 D	1-3 L
Jippo	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	0 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Klubi-04 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Klubi-04

WLDWLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	6-2	10	6	W
22/08	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	4-3	4-3	4	4	W
15/08	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
09/08	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-1	5	5	L
31/07	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	6	5	L
25/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	13	3	L
21/07	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	5	6	W
17/07	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	2-2	7	7	D
11/07	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	2	1	L
26/06	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	5	7	W

KaPa

WLDLLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
20/08	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-3	2	2	L
15/08	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-2	3	4	L
08/08	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
29/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	1-2	5	5	L
25/07	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	1-3	3	4	L
21/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	0-2	10	6	L
17/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	2-2	8	2	D
10/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-2	1-3	4	1	L
28/06	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-1	3-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Klubi-04 vs KaPa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Klubi-04 win (54%). Probabilities: Klubi-04 54%, draw 24%, KaPa 22%.

How many goals are expected in Klubi-04 vs KaPa?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Klubi-04 1.97 · KaPa 1.21), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Klubi-04 vs KaPa?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.