Football · Finland Ykkosliiga · 12/09, 14:00

Prediction: Ekenäs IF vs FC Haka

Team pages: Ekenäs IF · FC Haka

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Ekenäs IF1.28

FC Haka1.54

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Ekenäs IF Draw FC Haka

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Ekenäs IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWLLD

FC Haka 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDWWWWWL

Head-to-head

Ekenäs IF 0–1–5 FC Haka (6 last)

FC Haka3-1Ekenäs IF
FC Haka4-3Ekenäs IF
FC Haka2-1Ekenäs IF
Ekenäs IF1-1FC Haka
Ekenäs IF1-2FC Haka
FC Haka2-1Ekenäs IF

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Haka (rating 1464 vs 1557).
H2H favours FC Haka: 5-1-0.
High corners: 15 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ekenäs IF	FC Haka
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1	2.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7	3.7 / 8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.91

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.99 → 3.99	Pinn 3.99
X	3.71 → 3.71	Pinn 3.71
2	1.78 → 1.78	Pinn 1.78

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 8.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:44 +76’	3.99	3.71	1.78

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ekenäs IF 0–1–5 FC Haka

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	FC Haka	3-1 HT 0-0	Ekenäs IF
08/05/26 Finland Ykkosliiga	FC Haka	4-3 HT 2-1	Ekenäs IF
18/02/26 Finland Ykkoscup	FC Haka	2-1 HT 1-0	Ekenäs IF
22/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Ekenäs IF	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Haka
04/08/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	Ekenäs IF	1-2 HT 1-0	FC Haka
12/04/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Haka	2-1 HT 1-0	Ekenäs IF

Standings · Finland Ykkosliiga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KTP	22	16	3	3	38	21	51
2	PK-35	22	13	6	3	37	14	45
3	FC Haka	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
4	Jippo	22	10	7	5	29	19	37
5	JaPS	22	10	2	10	21	31	32
6	Ekenäs IF	22	8	3	11	26	33	27
7	MP	21	6	3	12	22	33	21
8	Klubi-04	21	4	7	10	25	29	19
9	KaPa	21	4	5	12	21	35	17
10	SJK II	22	2	6	14	13	36	12

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ekenäs IF	FC Haka
PK-35	0-0 D	4-1 W
Jippo	0-2 L	3-0 W
KTP	0-1 L	1-2 L
MP	2-0 W	1-2 L
KaPa	1-0 W	3-1 W
Klubi-04	2-0 W	2-2 D
SJK II	0-0 D	2-0 W
JaPS	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Haka (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ekenäs IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	11	6	D
29/08	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
22/08	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
16/08	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	9	4	W
08/08	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
31/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	2-0	6	5	W
25/07	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-0	8	1	D
18/07	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
11/07	FC Haka Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	1-3	2	2	L
04/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	0-3	4	3	L

FC Haka

LLWDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-2	8	1	L
21/08	SJK II Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-0	9	1	W
14/08	JaPS Finland Ykkosliiga	1-0	2-1	10	2	W
07/08	Jippo Finland Ykkosliiga	3-0	3-0	3	2	W
31/07	PK-35 Finland Ykkosliiga	2-0	4-1	7	2	W
25/07	KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
17/07	Klubi-04 Finland Ykkosliiga	1-2	2-2	15	7	D
11/07	Ekenäs IF Finland Ykkosliiga	0-0	3-1	8	2	W
05/07	MP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	1-2	10	3	L
27/06	KTP Finland Ykkosliiga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ekenäs IF vs FC Haka?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Haka win (42%). Probabilities: Ekenäs IF 31%, draw 27%, FC Haka 42%.

How many goals are expected in Ekenäs IF vs FC Haka?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Ekenäs IF 1.28 · FC Haka 1.54), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ekenäs IF vs FC Haka?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.